Central Espanol 42%Draw 25%Danubio 33%Expected goals 1.76 – 1.57
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultCentral Espanol to win ✗42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Central Espanol vs Danubio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 15 October the Copa Uruguay brings Central Espanol against Danubio at Parque Palermo. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Central Espanol, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Club Nacional, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Danubio, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atletico Torque, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Danubio, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Central Espanol.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Central Espanol 1.8 xG, Danubio 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Central Espanol 42%, draw 25%, Danubio 33%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Central Espanol 1–1 Danubio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Central Espanol42%fair 2.40 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.75
Danubio33%fair 2.99 · @2.50
3.33Expected goals
1.76Central Espanol xG
1.57Danubio xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Central Espanol 1.8 – 1.6 Danubio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Central Espanol to win✗
42%
2.40
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Central Espanol (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Danubio +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Central Espanol to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Central Espanol / FT Central Espanol✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.48
–
Recent results
Central Espanol – last 6
LLLLDD
11 Oct
vs Club Nacional
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Deportivo Maldonado
0–3
L
27 Sep
vs Liverpool Montevideo
1–2
L
21 Sep
vs Atletico Torque
1–4
L
17 Sep
vs Oriental
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Cerro Largo
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Danubio – last 6
LWLDDD
9 Oct
@ Atletico Torque
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Cerro Largo
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Defensor Sporting
0–1
L
24 Sep
vs Penarol
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Wanderers
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Juventud
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Central Espanol and Danubio.
What is the prediction for Central Espanol vs Danubio?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Central Espanol vs Danubio?
On our numbers Central Espanol have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Danubio 33%.
How many goals will there be in Central Espanol vs Danubio?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Central Espanol vs Danubio?
Our predicted score is Central Espanol 1–1 Danubio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Central Espanol vs Danubio?
Central Espanol vs Danubio (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportivo Maldonado4
Albion FC1