Deportivo Maldonado 60%Draw 23%Albion FC 17%Expected goals 1.52 – 0.65
83%
Betarazi pick
Deportivo Maldonado or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Maldonado to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Maldonado to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceDeportivo Maldonado or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.76
Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Albion FC travel to face Deportivo Maldonado on Thursday 15 October in the Copa Uruguay – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.
Current form
Deportivo Maldonado, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Liverpool Montevideo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Albion FC, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cerro Largo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Deportivo Maldonado, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Albion FC.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Jul 2026) it ended Deportivo Maldonado 1–1 Albion FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Maldonado 1.5 xG, Albion FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Maldonado 60%, draw 23%, Albion FC 17%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Maldonado or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Maldonado to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo Maldonado or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 Albion FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Maldonado60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @2.88
Albion FC17%fair 5.76 · @3.70
2.17Expected goals
1.52Deportivo Maldonado xG
0.65Albion FC xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maldonado 1.5 – 0.6 Albion FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion FC?
Our pick is Deportivo Maldonado or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion FC?
On our numbers Deportivo Maldonado have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Albion FC 17%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion FC?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 Albion FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion FC?
Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion FC (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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