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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Uruguay Montevideo v Colón: numbers & prediction

1–3
FT

Colón

DLLDL
Uruguay Montevideo 26%Draw 25%Colón 49% Expected goals 0.87 – 1.32
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
2.00Odds

Picks by market

ResultColón to win ✓49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.77

Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 10 October the Segunda División brings Uruguay Montevideo against Colón. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Uruguay Montevideo are 14th, in the drop zone, on 22 points after 25 matches; Colón are 3rd (among the top four) with 39. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Uruguay Montevideo, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fenix, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Colón, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Oriental, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Jul 2026) it ended Colón 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Uruguay Montevideo 0.9 xG, Colón 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Uruguay Montevideo 26%, draw 25%, Colón 49%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.90, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Colón. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Uruguay Montevideo26%fair 3.82 · @3.40
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.80
Colón49%fair 2.04 · @2.15
2.19Expected goals
0.87Uruguay Montevideo xG
1.32Colón xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
1–113%
0–011%
0–210%
1–010%
1–28%

From our goals model: Uruguay Montevideo 0.9 – 1.3 Colón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColón to win ✓49%2.042.15 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.902.00 ▲
Draw no betColón (draw no bet) ✓65%1.53–
Asian handicapUruguay Montevideo +1 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreColón to score first54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colón / FT Colón ✗28%3.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.77–

Recent results

Uruguay Montevideo – last 6

LLLDLD
4 Oct@ Fenix0–2L
26 Sepvs Rentistas1–3L
19 Sep@ Miramar0–1L
12 Sepvs Tacuarembo2–2D
7 Sep@ Plaza Colonia0–1L
29 Augvs La Luz0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Colón – last 6

DLLDLL
4 Octvs Oriental0–0D
26 Sep@ CA River Plate0–3L
23 Sep@ Liverpool Montevideo0–3L
19 Sep@ Fenix1–1D
13 Sepvs Rentistas0–1L
9 Sep@ Boston River0–2L
0.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Jul 2026Colón v Uruguay Montevideo1–0
Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón?

On our numbers Uruguay Montevideo have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Colón 49%.

How many goals will there be in Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón?

Our predicted score is Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Colón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón?

Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.