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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cerrito v Tacuarembo: numbers & prediction

Cerrito

DWLWD
2–1
FT
Cerrito 47%Draw 23%Tacuarembo 30% Expected goals 1.28 – 0.94
51%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultCerrito to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.17

Cerrito vs Tacuarembo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tacuarembo travel to face Cerrito on Saturday 10 October in the Segunda División – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Cerrito are 8th, lower half, on 34 points after 25 matches; Tacuarembo are 13th (in the drop zone) with 26.

Current form

Cerrito, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Wanderers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Tacuarembo, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atenas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Cerrito, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Tacuarembo.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Jul 2026) it ended Tacuarembo 0–0 Cerrito.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cerrito 1.3 xG, Tacuarembo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cerrito 47%, draw 23%, Tacuarembo 30%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerrito 1–0 Tacuarembo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cerrito47%fair 2.13 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Tacuarembo30%fair 3.37 · @3.50
2.22Expected goals
1.28Cerrito xG
0.94Tacuarembo xG
49%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Cerrito 1.3 – 0.9 Tacuarembo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCerrito to win ✓47%2.132.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.35
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.941.83
Draw no betCerrito (draw no bet) ✓61%1.63–
Asian handicapTacuarembo +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreCerrito to score first ✗52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cerrito / FT Cerrito ✗26%3.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.17–

Recent results

Cerrito – last 6

DWLWDD
7 Octvs Wanderers2–2D
4 Oct@ Plaza Colonia3–1W
27 Sepvs La Luz1–2L
24 Sep@ Wanderers3–1W
20 Sepvs CA River Plate1–1D
13 Sep@ Atenas0–0D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Tacuarembo – last 6

LDDDLL
3 Octvs Atenas0–1L
28 Sep@ Paysandu2–2D
20 Sepvs Sportivo Huracan1–1D
12 Sep@ Uruguay Montevideo2–2D
6 Sepvs Oriental0–1L
29 Aug@ Colón0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Jul 2026Tacuarembo v Cerrito0–0
Cerrito vs Tacuarembo head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerrito vs Tacuarembo?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Cerrito vs Tacuarembo?

On our numbers Cerrito have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tacuarembo 30%.

How many goals will there be in Cerrito vs Tacuarembo?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cerrito vs Tacuarembo?

Our predicted score is Cerrito 1–0 Tacuarembo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Cerrito vs Tacuarembo?

Cerrito vs Tacuarembo (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.