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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

USM Annaba v US Chaouia: numbers & prediction

Ligue 2 · Algeria
3–0
FT
USM Annaba 60%Draw 24%US Chaouia 17% Expected goals 1.38 – 0.55
66%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultUSM Annaba to win ✓60% · @1.73
Double chanceUSM Annaba or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.98

USM Annaba vs US Chaouia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Friday 9 October: USM Annaba v US Chaouia in the Ligue 2. In the table, USM Annaba are 4th, among the top four, on 15 points after 9 matches; US Chaouia are 12th (lower half) with 11.

Current form

USM Annaba, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Paradou AC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

US Chaouia, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Khroub, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended USM Annaba 1–0 US Chaouia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give USM Annaba 1.4 xG, US Chaouia 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – USM Annaba 60%, draw 24%, US Chaouia 17%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: USM Annaba 1–0 US Chaouia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

USM Annaba60%fair 1.67 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.10
US Chaouia17%fair 5.96 · @4.75
1.93Expected goals
1.38USM Annaba xG
0.55US Chaouia xG
40%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
0–015%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%

From our goals model: USM Annaba 1.4 – 0.5 US Chaouia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUSM Annaba to win ✓60%1.671.73
Double chanceUSM Annaba or draw ✓83%1.201.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓60%1.66–
Draw no betUSM Annaba (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapUS Chaouia +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓57%1.74–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66%1.511.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreUSM Annaba to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT USM Annaba / FT USM Annaba ✓34%2.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%4.98–

Recent results

USM Annaba – last 6

WLWLDD
2 Octvs Paradou AC2–1W
26 Sep@ Khroub0–1L
18 Sepvs NC Magra3–0W
21 Apr@ JS Jijel0–1L
17 Aprvs MO Constantine0–0D
10 Apr@ CR Béni Thour0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

US Chaouia – last 6

DLDLWW
2 Octvs Khroub0–0D
26 Sep@ NC Magra0–1L
18 Sepvs Nrb Beni Oulbene1–1D
20 May@ Témouchent0–1L
21 Apr@ MO Constantine3–1W
17 Aprvs IB Khémis El Khechna3–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Feb 2026USM Annaba v US Chaouia1–0
USM Annaba vs US Chaouia head-to-head page →

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1MSP Batna9522+517
2MO Bejaia9522+517
3Azazga9522+317
4USM Annaba9432+615
5JSM Skikda9504+215
6Paradou AC9423+414
7NC Magra9423+114
8MO Constantine9342-113
9Khroub9333012
10CA Batna9252+111
11Nrb Beni Oulbene9324-211
12US Chaouia9324-411
13Teleghma9234-29
14JS Jijel9234-49
15IRB Nezla9216-67
16CR Béni Thour9207-86

More Ligue 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for USM Annaba vs US Chaouia?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win USM Annaba vs US Chaouia?

On our numbers USM Annaba have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and US Chaouia 17%.

How many goals will there be in USM Annaba vs US Chaouia?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for USM Annaba vs US Chaouia?

Our predicted score is USM Annaba 1–0 US Chaouia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is USM Annaba vs US Chaouia?

USM Annaba vs US Chaouia (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.