Tiaret 57%Draw 22%ASM Oran 21%Expected goals 1.53 – 0.78
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Tiaret to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTiaret to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceTiaret or draw ✗79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.59
Tiaret vs ASM Oran: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Friday 9 October: Tiaret v ASM Oran in the Ligue 2. In the table, Tiaret are 13th, lower half, on 7 points after 9 matches; ASM Oran are 8th (upper half) with 13.
Current form
Tiaret, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to WA Mostaganem, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
ASM Oran, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to MC Saida, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours ASM Oran, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Tiaret.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tiaret 1.5 xG, ASM Oran 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tiaret 57%, draw 22%, ASM Oran 21%.
Lower-risk option: Tiaret or draw (79%) at 1.17.
Price worth noting: Tiaret to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tiaret 1–0 ASM Oran. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tiaret57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @2.90
ASM Oran21%fair 4.75 · @4.00
2.31Expected goals
1.53Tiaret xG
0.78ASM Oran xG
43%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Tiaret 1.5 – 0.8 ASM Oran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tiaret to win✗
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Tiaret or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Draw no bet
Tiaret (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
ASM Oran +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Tiaret to score first✗
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tiaret / FT Tiaret✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.59
–
Recent results
Tiaret – last 6
LDLLLL
3 Oct
@ WA Mostaganem
1–3
L
26 Sep
vs Usm El Harrach
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ WA Tlemcen
1–2
L
8 May
@ Béchar Djedid
1–3
L
1 May
vs Témouchent
0–1
L
9 Apr
@ WA Mostaganem
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
ASM Oran – last 6
LWLWLW
3 Oct
@ MC Saida
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs WA Mostaganem
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Usm El Harrach
0–1
L
8 May
@ CRB Adrar
4–1
W
1 May
vs RC Kouba
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ Usm El Harrach
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tiaret and ASM Oran.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Tiaret vs ASM Oran?
On our numbers Tiaret have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and ASM Oran 21%.
How many goals will there be in Tiaret vs ASM Oran?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tiaret vs ASM Oran?
Our predicted score is Tiaret 1–0 ASM Oran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Tiaret vs ASM Oran?
Tiaret vs ASM Oran (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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