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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spalding United v Bury Town: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Spalding United

DLWWW
4–0
FT

Bury Town

DWLWW
Spalding United 62%Draw 16%Bury Town 22% Expected goals 2.43 – 1.37
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultSpalding United to win ✓62% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05

Spalding United vs Bury Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Spalding United welcome Bury Town for a FA Cup fixture on Tuesday 6 October (19:45 WAT).

Current form

Spalding United, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bury Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Bury Town, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Spalding United, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Oct 2026) it ended Bury Town 1–1 Spalding United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spalding United 2.4 xG, Bury Town 1.4 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spalding United 62%, draw 16%, Bury Town 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spalding United 2–1 Bury Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spalding United62%fair 1.61 · @1.67
Draw16%fair 6.20 · @4.00
Bury Town22%fair 4.60 · @3.75
3.80Expected goals
2.43Spalding United xG
1.37Bury Town xG
63%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–05%

From our goals model: Spalding United 2.4 – 1.4 Bury Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpalding United to win ✓62%1.611.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.191.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.601.75 ▲
Draw no betSpalding United (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapSpalding United -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓53%1.90–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
First team to scoreSpalding United to score first ✓63%1.60–
Half-time resultSpalding United ahead at half-time ✓46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spalding United / FT Spalding United ✓40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.05–

Recent results

Spalding United – last 6

DLWWWW
3 Oct@ Bury Town1–1D
26 Sep@ Chorley1–2L
19 Sepvs Hanley Town2–0W
12 Sepvs Bedford Town2–1W
8 Sep@ Spennymoor Town3–1W
5 Sepvs Southport2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bury Town – last 6

DWLWWL
3 Octvs Spalding United1–1D
29 Sep@ Bishop's Stortford2–1W
26 Sep@ St Albans City1–4L
22 Sepvs Hitchin Town1–0W
19 Sep@ Gorleston4–3W
12 Sep@ Bromsgrove Sporting0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Oct 2026Bury Town v Spalding United1–1
Spalding United vs Bury Town head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Scarborough Athletic1 Macclesfield1 AET 1–2 139%2.62X20%3.60241%2.25 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.70 ✓
FT Wingate & Finchley1 Bedford Town3 138%2.80X20%3.60242%2.10 1.2–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.60 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spalding United vs Bury Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Spalding United vs Bury Town?

On our numbers Spalding United have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Bury Town 22%.

How many goals will there be in Spalding United vs Bury Town?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spalding United vs Bury Town?

Our predicted score is Spalding United 2–1 Bury Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Spalding United vs Bury Town?

Spalding United vs Bury Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.