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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Wingate & Finchley v Bedford Town: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · Maurice Rebak Stadium

Wingate & Finchley

DWWDW
1–3
FT

Bedford Town

DDWLW
Wingate & Finchley 38%Draw 20%Bedford Town 42% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.34
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultBedford Town to win ✓42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.86

Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 6 October: Wingate & Finchley v Bedford Town in the FA Cup, played at Maurice Rebak Stadium.

Current form

Wingate & Finchley, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Bedford Town, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Bedford Town, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Wingate & Finchley, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Oct 2026) it ended Bedford Town 2–2 Wingate & Finchley.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wingate & Finchley 1.2 xG, Bedford Town 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wingate & Finchley 38%, draw 20%, Bedford Town 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wingate & Finchley 1–1 Bedford Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wingate & Finchley38%fair 2.66 · @2.80
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Bedford Town42%fair 2.36 · @2.10
2.57Expected goals
1.23Wingate & Finchley xG
1.34Bedford Town xG
61%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Wingate & Finchley 1.2 – 1.3 Bedford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBedford Town to win ✓42%2.362.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.60
Draw no betBedford Town (draw no bet) ✓53%1.89–
Asian handicapWingate & Finchley +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.90–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreBedford Town to score first48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bedford Town / FT Bedford Town ✓23%4.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.86–

Recent results

Wingate & Finchley – last 6

DWWDWL
3 Oct@ Bedford Town2–2D
26 Sep@ Real Bedford3–0W
22 Sepvs Hemel Hempstead Town2–1W
19 Sep@ Hemel Hempstead Town1–1D
14 Sep@ Aveley4–3W
12 Sep@ Welling United1–4L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Bedford Town – last 6

DDWLWW
3 Octvs Wingate & Finchley2–2D
26 Sepvs Hereford1–1D
19 Sepvs King's Lynn Town2–1W
12 Sep@ Spalding United1–2L
8 Sep@ Worksop Town2–1W
5 Sepvs Radcliffe1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Oct 2026Bedford Town v Wingate & Finchley2–2
Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Scarborough Athletic1 Macclesfield1 AET 1–2 139%2.62X20%3.60241%2.25 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.70 ✓
FT Spalding United4 Bury Town0 162%1.67X16%4.00222%3.75 2.4–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.75 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town?

On our numbers Wingate & Finchley have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bedford Town 42%.

How many goals will there be in Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town?

Our predicted score is Wingate & Finchley 1–1 Bedford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town?

Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Maurice Rebak Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.