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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Portugalete v Real Unión: numbers & prediction

Copa Del Rey · Spain · Estadio La Florida

Portugalete

WDDDW
Wed 18 Nov 2026

Real Unión

LLWDD
Portugalete 40%Draw 25%Real Unión 35% Expected goals 1.81 – 1.47
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.73

6/10Rating
1.73Odds
1

Value bet: Portugalete to win @ 3.00 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultPortugalete to win40% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.04

Portugalete vs Real Unión: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Unión travel to face Portugalete on Wednesday 18 November in the Copa Del Rey, with Estadio La Florida the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Portugalete, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Ourense CF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Real Unión, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Barakaldo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Portugalete, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Real Unión.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Portugalete 1.8 xG, Real Unión 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Portugalete 40%, draw 25%, Real Unión 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Portugalete to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 40%.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portugalete 1–1 Real Unión. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Portugalete40%fair 2.49 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.10
Real Unión35%fair 2.86 · @2.25
3.29Expected goals
1.81Portugalete xG
1.47Real Unión xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%

From our goals model: Portugalete 1.8 – 1.5 Real Unión expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortugalete to win40%2.493.00 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win75%1.331.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score63%1.591.73 ▲
Draw no betPortugalete (draw no bet)53%1.87–
Asian handicapReal Unión +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals64%1.57–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals58%1.71–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals77%1.31–
First team to scorePortugalete to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time37%2.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT Portugalete / FT Portugalete28%3.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.04–

Recent results

Portugalete – last 6

WDDDWL
8 Nov@ Ourense CF3–0W
1 Novvs Arosa3–3D
25 Oct@ Basconia2–2D
17 Octvs Eibar II0–0D
10 Oct@ Amorebieta2–1W
3 Octvs Deportivo Alavés II0–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Real Unión – last 6

LLWDDD
7 Nov@ Barakaldo0–2L
31 Octvs Real Avilés0–3L
23 Octvs Lugo4–1W
17 Oct@ Extremadura 19242–2D
11 Oct@ Athletic Club II0–0D
3 Octvs UD Ourense1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Portugalete and Real Unión.

Portugalete vs Real Unión head-to-head page →

More Copa Del Rey predictions

League hub
Utebo Sabadell 122%5.00X28%3.80250%1.57 0.7–1.1xG NGNot both teams to score 53%@1.85
Alcoyano Mallorca 119%6.00X25%4.00256%1.55 0.9–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.30
Badajoz Tenerife 125%4.80X25%3.90250%1.60 1.0–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.73
Deportiva Minera FC Cartagena 130%3.70X38%3.00232%2.00 1.2–1.0xG X2FC Cartagena or draw 70%@1.25
Reddis Barakaldo 127%3.70X28%3.30245%1.95 0.9–1.0xG X2Barakaldo or draw 73%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portugalete vs Real Unión?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Portugalete vs Real Unión?

On our numbers Portugalete have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Unión 35%.

How many goals will there be in Portugalete vs Real Unión?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Portugalete vs Real Unión?

Our predicted score is Portugalete 1–1 Real Unión, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Portugalete vs Real Unión?

Portugalete vs Real Unión (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Wednesday 18 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Florida.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.