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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Utebo v Sabadell: numbers & prediction

Copa Del Rey · Spain · Campo Santa Ana

Utebo

WDDLD
Wed 18 Nov 2026

Sabadell

DLDLW
Utebo 22%Draw 28%Sabadell 50% Expected goals 0.74 – 1.05
53%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.85

4/10Rating
1.85Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.80 – our chance 28% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultSabadell to win50% · @1.57
Double chanceSabadell or draw78% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–118% · fair 5.71

Utebo vs Sabadell: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Wednesday 18 November: Utebo v Sabadell in the Copa Del Rey, played at Campo Santa Ana.

Current form

Utebo, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Osasuna II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Sabadell, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Real Sociedad II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Utebo 0.7 xG, Sabadell 1.1 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Utebo 22%, draw 28%, Sabadell 50%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sabadell or draw (78%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 28%.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Utebo 0–1 Sabadell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Utebo22%fair 4.49 · @5.00
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.80
Sabadell50%fair 2.01 · @1.57
1.79Expected goals
0.74Utebo xG
1.05Sabadell xG
47%Both score
27%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–118%
0–017%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%

From our goals model: Utebo 0.7 – 1.1 Sabadell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSabadell to win50%2.011.57
Double chanceSabadell or draw78%1.291.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score53%1.901.85
Draw no betSabadell (draw no bet)69%1.45–
Asian handicapUtebo +1 (Asian handicap)77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals54%1.87–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals73%1.37–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals89%1.12–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals96%1.04–
First team to scoreSabadell to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw24%4.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–118%5.71–

Recent results

Utebo – last 6

WDDLDD
8 Novvs Osasuna II2–0W
31 Oct@ Náxara1–1D
24 Octvs UD Logroñés II1–1D
17 Oct@ Barcelona B1–2L
10 Octvs Arnedo0–0D
4 Oct@ Barbastro1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sabadell – last 6

DLDLWD
9 Novvs Real Sociedad II0–0D
31 Oct@ Albacete1–2L
25 Octvs Tenerife1–1D
18 Oct@ Burgos0–1L
10 Oct@ AD Ceuta FC2–1W
3 Octvs FC Andorra0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Utebo and Sabadell.

Utebo vs Sabadell head-to-head page →

More Copa Del Rey predictions

League hub
Portugalete Real Unión 140%3.00X25%3.10235%2.25 1.8–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.73
Alcoyano Mallorca 119%6.00X25%4.00256%1.55 0.9–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.30
Badajoz Tenerife 125%4.80X25%3.90250%1.60 1.0–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@1.73
Deportiva Minera FC Cartagena 130%3.70X38%3.00232%2.00 1.2–1.0xG X2FC Cartagena or draw 70%@1.25
Reddis Barakaldo 127%3.70X28%3.30245%1.95 0.9–1.0xG X2Barakaldo or draw 73%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Utebo vs Sabadell?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Utebo vs Sabadell?

On our numbers Utebo have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sabadell 50%.

How many goals will there be in Utebo vs Sabadell?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Utebo vs Sabadell?

Our predicted score is Utebo 0–1 Sabadell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Utebo vs Sabadell?

Utebo vs Sabadell (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Wednesday 18 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Santa Ana.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.