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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fenix v Paysandu: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Uruguay · Parque Capurro

Fenix

DWLLD
0–1
FT

Paysandu

WLDDL
Fenix 66%Draw 19%Paysandu 15% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.67
66%
Betarazi pick

Fenix to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultFenix to win ✗66% · @1.35
Double chanceFenix or draw ✗85% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.53

Fenix vs Paysandu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Fenix welcome Paysandu to Parque Capurro for a Segunda División fixture on Saturday 17 October (18:00 WAT). In the table, Fenix are 11th, lower half, on 31 points after 25 matches; Paysandu are 5th (upper half) with 35.

Current form

Fenix, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sportivo Huracan, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Paysandu, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rentistas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Jul 2026) it ended Paysandu 1–0 Fenix.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fenix 1.8 xG, Paysandu 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fenix 66%, draw 19%, Paysandu 15%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Fenix to win (66%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenix 1–0 Paysandu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fenix66%fair 1.52 · @1.35
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @4.00
Paysandu15%fair 6.81 · @8.50
2.46Expected goals
1.79Fenix xG
0.67Paysandu xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%

From our goals model: Fenix 1.8 – 0.7 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFenix to win ✗66%1.521.35
Double chanceFenix or draw ✗85%1.171.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.991.62
Draw no betFenix (draw no bet) ✗82%1.22–
Asian handicapFenix -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreFenix to score first ✗67%1.50–
Half-time resultFenix ahead at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fenix / FT Fenix ✗41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.53–

Recent results

Fenix – last 6

DWLLDW
11 Oct@ Sportivo Huracan0–0D
4 Octvs Uruguay Montevideo2–0W
26 Sep@ Oriental2–3L
23 Sep@ Boston River2–3L
19 Sepvs Colón1–1D
13 Sep@ CA River Plate1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Paysandu – last 6

WLDDLW
10 Octvs Rentistas2–1W
3 Oct@ Miramar0–1L
28 Sepvs Tacuarembo2–2D
19 Sep@ Plaza Colonia1–1D
12 Sepvs La Luz0–1L
5 Sep@ Cerrito2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Jul 2026Paysandu v Fenix1–0
Fenix vs Paysandu head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League hub
FT Tacuarembo0 La Luz1 131%3.25X25%2.75244%2.25 0.9–1.1xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.73 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fenix vs Paysandu?

Our pick is Fenix to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Fenix vs Paysandu?

On our numbers Fenix have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Paysandu 15%.

How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Paysandu?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Paysandu?

Our predicted score is Fenix 1–0 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Fenix vs Paysandu?

Fenix vs Paysandu (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.