Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.53
Tacuarembo vs La Luz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
La Luz travel to face Tacuarembo on Saturday 17 October in the Segunda División – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Tacuarembo are 13th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 25 matches; La Luz are 9th (lower half) with 34.
Current form
Tacuarembo, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cerrito, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
La Luz, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Plaza Colonia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours La Luz, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Tacuarembo.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Jul 2026) it ended La Luz 2–0 Tacuarembo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tacuarembo 0 wins, La Luz 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tacuarembo 0.9 xG, La Luz 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tacuarembo 31%, draw 25%, La Luz 44%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacuarembo 0–1 La Luz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tacuarembo31%fair 3.27 · @3.25
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.75
La Luz44%fair 2.26 · @2.25
2.00Expected goals
0.87Tacuarembo xG
1.13La Luz xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Tacuarembo 0.9 – 1.1 La Luz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
On our numbers Tacuarembo have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and La Luz 44%.
How many goals will there be in Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
Our predicted score is Tacuarembo 0–1 La Luz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Tacuarembo vs La Luz?
Tacuarembo vs La Luz (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
