Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCanada to win55% · @1.37
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.56
Guatemala vs Canada: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Canada travel to face Guatemala on Saturday 14 November in the CONCACAF Nations League – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT.
Current form
Guatemala, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Suriname, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Canada, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to USA, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guatemala 1.1 xG, Canada 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guatemala 23%, draw 22%, Canada 55%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guatemala 1–1 Canada. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guatemala23%fair 4.44 · @6.68
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @4.31
Canada55%fair 1.81 · @1.37
2.75Expected goals
1.14Guatemala xG
1.62Canada xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Guatemala 1.1 – 1.6 Canada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Canada to win
55%
1.81
1.37
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.71
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Canada (draw no bet)
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Guatemala +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.91
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Canada to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Canada / FT Canada
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Guatemala – last 6
WDWLLL
6 Oct
vs Suriname
1–0
W
2 Oct
@ Suriname
0–0
D
29 Sep
vs El Salvador
6–0
W
26 Sep
@ Jamaica
2–3
L
7 Jun
@ Ecuador
0–3
L
5 Jun
@ Czech Republic
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Canada – last 6
LWWLWL
7 Oct
@ USA
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Peru
2–0
W
27 Sep
vs Chile
1–0
W
4 Jul
vs Morocco
0–3
L
28 Jun
@ South Africa
1–0
W
24 Jun
@ Switzerland
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guatemala and Canada.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Guatemala vs Canada?
On our numbers Guatemala have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Canada 55%.
How many goals will there be in Guatemala vs Canada?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guatemala vs Canada?
Our predicted score is Guatemala 1–1 Canada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Guatemala vs Canada?
Guatemala vs Canada (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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