Haiti 19%Draw 18%USA 62%Expected goals 1.31 – 2.11
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultUSA to win62% · @1.20
Double chanceEither team to win82% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals63% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.49
Haiti vs USA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Haiti welcome USA for a CONCACAF Nations League fixture on Saturday 14 November (22:30 WAT).
Current form
Haiti, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Costa Rica, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
USA, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Canada, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours USA, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Haiti.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Haiti 1.3 xG, USA 2.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Haiti 19%, draw 18%, USA 62%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Haiti 1–2 USA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Haiti19%fair 5.20 · @10.40
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @5.48
USA62%fair 1.61 · @1.20
3.42Expected goals
1.31Haiti xG
2.11USA xG
59%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Haiti 1.3 – 2.1 USA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
USA to win
62%
1.61
1.20
Double chance
Either team to win
82%
1.23
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
USA (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Haiti +1.5 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
59%
1.69
1.46
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
USA to score first
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
USA ahead at half-time
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT USA / FT USA
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Haiti – last 6
LWWWLL
5 Oct
@ Costa Rica
0–2
L
2 Oct
@ Dominican Republic
4–1
W
28 Sep
vs Costa Rica
2–0
W
25 Sep
vs Trinidad and Tobago
3–2
W
24 Jun
@ Morocco
2–4
L
20 Jun
@ Brazil
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
USA – last 6
WWWWLW
7 Oct
vs Canada
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Mexico
3–0
W
30 Sep
vs Chile
4–2
W
26 Sep
vs Peru
4–1
W
7 Jul
vs Belgium
1–4
L
2 Jul
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haiti and USA.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Haiti vs USA?
On our numbers Haiti have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 18% and USA 62%.
How many goals will there be in Haiti vs USA?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haiti vs USA?
Our predicted score is Haiti 1–2 USA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Haiti vs USA?
Haiti vs USA (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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