Racing Montevideo 55%Draw 23%Wanderers 22%Expected goals 1.49 – 0.80
78%
Betarazi pick
Racing Montevideo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Racing Montevideo to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRacing Montevideo to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceRacing Montevideo or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12
Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Racing Montevideo welcome Wanderers to Estadio Osvaldo Roberto for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Saturday 17 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Racing Montevideo are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Wanderers are 10th (lower half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Racing Montevideo, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Juventud, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Wanderers, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Boston River, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Wanderers, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Racing Montevideo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Racing Montevideo 1.5 xG, Wanderers 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Montevideo 55%, draw 23%, Wanderers 22%.
Lower-risk option: Racing Montevideo or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Racing Montevideo to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Racing Montevideo or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Montevideo 1–0 Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Racing Montevideo55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Wanderers22%fair 4.55 · @3.75
2.29Expected goals
1.49Racing Montevideo xG
0.80Wanderers xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Racing Montevideo 1.5 – 0.8 Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Montevideo to win✓
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Racing Montevideo or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.91
Draw no bet
Racing Montevideo (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Wanderers +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Racing Montevideo to score first✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Montevideo / FT Racing Montevideo✗
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
Racing Montevideo – last 6
LLLDLW
11 Oct
@ Juventud
0–2
L
4 Oct
vs Penarol
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Progreso
1–2
L
21 Sep
@ Liverpool Montevideo
0–0
D
17 Sep
@ Juventud
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs Boston River
3–2
W
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Wanderers – last 6
LDWWLD
10 Oct
vs Boston River
1–3
L
7 Oct
@ Cerrito
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Cerro
2–0
W
29 Sep
vs Albion FC
2–1
W
24 Sep
vs Cerrito
1–3
L
20 Sep
@ Danubio
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Montevideo and Wanderers.
What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers?
Our pick is Racing Montevideo or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers?
On our numbers Racing Montevideo have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Wanderers 22%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Racing Montevideo 1–0 Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers?
Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
