Kocaelispor v Mazıdağı Fosfatspor Prediction & Expected Goals (27 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultKocaelispor to win ✓79% · @1.05

Double chanceKocaelispor or draw ✓95% · fair 1.06

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · @1.44

GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗35% · fair 2.83

Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 27 October the Cup brings Kocaelispor against Mazıdağı Fosfatspor. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Kocaelispor, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Alanyaspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bitlis Özgüzelderespor, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Mazıdağı Fosfatspor, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Kocaelispor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kocaelispor 1.0 xG, Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 0.0 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Kocaelispor 79%, draw 16%, Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 5%.
GG/NG: NG (63%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kocaelispor 0–0 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kocaelispor79%fair 1.27 · @1.05

Draw16%fair 6.27 · @11.00

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor5%fair 19.12 · @51.00

1.00Expected goals

0.96Kocaelispor xG

0.04Mazıdağı Fosfatspor xG

37%Both score

8%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–037%

1–035%

2–017%

3–05%

0–11%

1–11%

From our goals model: Kocaelispor 1.0 – 0.0 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Kocaelispor to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.05
Double chance	Kocaelispor or draw ✓	95%	1.06	–
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	63%	1.60	1.44
Draw no bet	Kocaelispor (draw no bet) ✓	94%	1.07	–
Asian handicap	Kocaelispor -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Under 1.5 goals ✗	74%	1.36	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	92%	1.09	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	98%	1.02	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	100%	1.00	–
First team to score	Kocaelispor to score first ✓	61%	1.65	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	65%	1.54	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	38%	2.67	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	35%	2.83	–

Kocaelispor – last 6

WLLWLW

23 Oct	@ Alanyaspor	2–1	W
18 Oct	vs Göztepe	1–2	L
11 Oct	@ Beşiktaş	1–2	L
19 Sep	vs Gaziantep FK	2–0	W
13 Sep	@ Galatasaray	0–1	L
6 Sep	vs Samsunspor	1–0	W

1.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor – last 6

DDWWWD

24 Oct	vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor	1–1	D
11 Oct	vs Yozgat Bld Bozokspor	0–0	D
7 Oct	vs Kırşehir Belediyespor	1–0	W
3 Oct	@ Adanaspor	2–1	W
26 Sep	vs Osmaniyespor	4–1	W
20 Sep	@ Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu	0–0	D

1.3Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Beşiktaş	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Fenerbahçe	4	3	0	1	+6	9
3	Erzurumspor FK	4	2	0	2	0	6
4	Gaziantep FK	4	2	0	2	-2	6
5	Kocaelispor	4	1	1	2	0	4
6	Rizespor	4	1	1	2	-2	4
7	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı	4	1	1	2	-2	4
8	Keçiörengücü	4	1	0	3	-7	3

Team

Pts

-2

-2

-2

-7

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?

On our numbers Kocaelispor have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 5%.

How many goals will there be in Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?

We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?

Our predicted score is Kocaelispor 0–0 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.

When is Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?

Kocaelispor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Kocaelispor v Mazıdağı Fosfatspor: numbers & prediction