Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Aliağa FAŞ to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAliağa FAŞ to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceAliağa FAŞ or draw ✓84% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pazarspor welcome Aliağa FAŞ for a Cup fixture on Tuesday 27 October (11:30 WAT).
Current form
Pazarspor, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Beykoz İshaklıspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Aliağa FAŞ, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over 68 Aksaray Belediyespor, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pazarspor 1.4 xG, Aliağa FAŞ 2.6 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pazarspor 16%, draw 22%, Aliağa FAŞ 62%.
Lower-risk option: Aliağa FAŞ or draw (84%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Aliağa FAŞ to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aliağa FAŞ or draw (84%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pazarspor 1–2 Aliağa FAŞ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pazarspor16%fair 6.17 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.30
Aliağa FAŞ62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
4.00Expected goals
1.38Pazarspor xG
2.62Aliağa FAŞ xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–35%
From our goals model: Pazarspor 1.4 – 2.6 Aliağa FAŞ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aliağa FAŞ to win✓
62%
1.62
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Aliağa FAŞ or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.50
1.50
Draw no bet
Aliağa FAŞ (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Aliağa FAŞ -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Aliağa FAŞ to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Aliağa FAŞ ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aliağa FAŞ / FT Aliağa FAŞ✓
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Pazarspor – last 6
DWWWWL
24 Oct
@ Beykoz İshaklıspor
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Düzcespor
2–1
W
7 Oct
vs Erbaaspor
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
3–1
W
27 Sep
vs Karabük İdman Yurdu
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aliağa FAŞ – last 6
WWWWWL
24 Oct
vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Somaspor
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Menemen FK
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Erbaaspor
4–2
W
27 Sep
vs Şanlıurfaspor
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Elazığspor
0–5
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pazarspor and Aliağa FAŞ.
What is the prediction for Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
Our pick is Aliağa FAŞ or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
On our numbers Pazarspor have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aliağa FAŞ 62%.
How many goals will there be in Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
Our predicted score is Pazarspor 1–2 Aliağa FAŞ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
Pazarspor vs Aliağa FAŞ (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.