Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Kapaz vs Baku Sportinq: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Wednesday 28 October: Kapaz v Baku Sportinq in the Cup, played at Ganja City Stadium.
Current form
Kapaz, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Safa Baku, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Baku Sportinq, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Şimal, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Kapaz, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.0 for Baku Sportinq.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kapaz 2.9 xG, Baku Sportinq 0.9 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kapaz 76%, draw 17%, Baku Sportinq 7%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kapaz 3–0 Baku Sportinq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kapaz76%fair 1.32 · @1.06
Draw17%fair 5.97 · @12.00
Baku Sportinq7%fair 13.69 · @34.00
3.81Expected goals
2.89Kapaz xG
0.92Baku Sportinq xG
52%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–09%
3–09%
2–19%
3–18%
4–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Kapaz 2.9 – 0.9 Baku Sportinq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kapaz to win✓
76%
1.32
1.06
Double chance
Kapaz or draw✓
93%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Kapaz (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Kapaz -1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
First team to score
Kapaz to score first
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Kapaz ahead at half-time✗
59%
1.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kapaz / FT Kapaz✗
55%
1.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
Kapaz – last 6
WDWDWL
24 Oct
@ Safa Baku
2–1
W
18 Oct
vs Zira
1–1
D
9 Oct
@ Araz
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Sumqayıt
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Qabala
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Şamaxı FK
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Baku Sportinq – last 6
LLLLLL
22 Oct
@ Şimal
2–5
L
16 Oct
vs MOIK
1–3
L
10 Oct
@ Cəbrayıl
0–2
L
17 Sep
vs Səbail
0–1
L
10 Sep
@ Zaqatala
0–3
L
3 Sep
vs Karvan
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kapaz and Baku Sportinq.
What is the prediction for Kapaz vs Baku Sportinq?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kapaz vs Baku Sportinq?
On our numbers Kapaz have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Baku Sportinq 7%.
How many goals will there be in Kapaz vs Baku Sportinq?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kapaz vs Baku Sportinq?
Our predicted score is Kapaz 3–0 Baku Sportinq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Kapaz vs Baku Sportinq?
Kapaz vs Baku Sportinq (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ganja City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
MOIK1
Şahdağ9