Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Zira to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZira to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceZira or draw ✓82% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.85
Səbail vs Zira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Tuesday 27 October: Səbail v Zira in the Cup, played at ASCO Arena.
Current form
Səbail, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Şahdağ, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Zira, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Sumqayıt, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Səbail, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Zira.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Səbail 0.9 xG, Zira 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Səbail 18%, draw 24%, Zira 58%.
Lower-risk option: Zira or draw (82%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: Zira to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Zira or draw (82%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Səbail 0–1 Zira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Səbail18%fair 5.58 · @3.60
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.50
Zira58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
2.62Expected goals
0.87Səbail xG
1.75Zira xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Səbail 0.9 – 1.8 Zira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zira to win✗
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Zira or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Zira (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Səbail +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Zira to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zira / FT Zira✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.85
–
Recent results
Səbail – last 6
LWDWWD
21 Oct
@ Şahdağ
0–1
L
15 Oct
@ Zaqatala
3–1
W
8 Oct
vs Karvan
1–1
D
17 Sep
@ Baku Sportinq
1–0
W
10 Sep
vs Mingəçevir
2–1
W
3 Sep
@ Xankəndi FK
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Zira – last 6
WDDLDL
23 Oct
vs Sumqayıt
3–2
W
18 Oct
@ Kapaz
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Şamaxı FK
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Turan
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Qarabag
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Sabah FA
0–5
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Səbail and Zira.
Our pick is Zira or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Səbail vs Zira?
On our numbers Səbail have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zira 58%.
How many goals will there be in Səbail vs Zira?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Səbail vs Zira?
Our predicted score is Səbail 0–1 Zira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Səbail vs Zira?
Səbail vs Zira (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at ASCO Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Şimal0
Araz6
Qabala3
Mingəçevir0