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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Qabala v Mingəçevir: numbers & prediction

Cup · Azerbaidjan

Qabala

WLLLL
3–0
FT

Mingəçevir

WLLLL
Qabala 79%Draw 15%Mingəçevir 5% Expected goals 2.46 – 0.51
57%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultQabala to win ✓79% · @1.08
Double chanceQabala or draw ✓95% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓13% · fair 7.89

Qabala vs Mingəçevir: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Qabala welcome Mingəçevir for a Cup fixture on Tuesday 27 October (14:00 WAT).

Current form

Qabala, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Araz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Mingəçevir, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Xankəndi FK, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (28 May 2026) it ended Qabala 2–0 Mingəçevir.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Qabala 2.5 xG, Mingəçevir 0.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 39% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Qabala 79%, draw 15%, Mingəçevir 5%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qabala 3–0 Mingəçevir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Qabala79%fair 1.26 · @1.08
Draw15%fair 6.47 · @9.50
Mingəçevir5%fair 19.62 · @34.00
2.98Expected goals
2.46Qabala xG
0.51Mingəçevir xG
39%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
3–013%
1–013%
2–18%
4–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Qabala 2.5 – 0.5 Mingəçevir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultQabala to win ✓79%1.261.08
Double chanceQabala or draw ✓95%1.051.01
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓61%1.64–
Draw no betQabala (draw no bet) ✓94%1.06–
Asian handicapQabala -1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreQabala to score first ✓78%1.27–
Half-time resultQabala ahead at half-time ✓58%1.72–
Half-time / full-timeHT Qabala / FT Qabala ✓56%1.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓13%7.89–

Recent results

Qabala – last 6

WLLLLW
23 Oct@ Araz2–1W
17 Octvs Sabah FA0–4L
10 Oct@ Sumqayıt1–4L
18 Sepvs Neftchi Baku0–3L
12 Sep@ Kapaz0–1L
4 Sepvs Imisli FK2–1W
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Mingəçevir – last 6

WLLLLD
21 Oct@ Xankəndi FK1–0W
15 Octvs Şimal1–4L
9 Oct@ MOIK0–3L
17 Sepvs Cəbrayıl0–3L
10 Sep@ Səbail1–2L
4 Sepvs Zaqatala2–2D
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 May 2026Qabala v Mingəçevir2–0
Qabala vs Mingəçevir head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Şimal0 Araz6 120%3.50X18%3.50262%1.80 2Araz to win 62%@1.80 ✓
FT Səbail1 Zira1 Pens 2–3 118%3.60X24%3.50258%1.85 0.9–1.8xG X2Zira or draw 82%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Qabala vs Mingəçevir?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Qabala vs Mingəçevir?

On our numbers Qabala have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Mingəçevir 5%.

How many goals will there be in Qabala vs Mingəçevir?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Qabala vs Mingəçevir?

Our predicted score is Qabala 3–0 Mingəçevir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Qabala vs Mingəçevir?

Qabala vs Mingəçevir (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.