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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Managua v San Marcos: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · Nicaragua

Managua

WWDWD
3–2
FT
Managua 71%Draw 18%San Marcos 10% Expected goals 2.37 – 0.81
50%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.99 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultManagua to win ✓71% · @1.12
Double chanceManagua or draw ✓90% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 10.87

Managua vs San Marcos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

San Marcos travel to face Managua on Thursday 15 October in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.

Current form

Managua, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jalapa, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

San Marcos, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to H&H Export, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Managua, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for San Marcos.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended San Marcos 1–4 Managua.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Managua 2.4 xG, San Marcos 0.8 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 50% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Managua 71%, draw 18%, San Marcos 10%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Managua 2–0 San Marcos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Managua71%fair 1.40 · @1.12
Draw18%fair 5.51 · @7.50
San Marcos10%fair 9.57 · @15.00
3.18Expected goals
2.37Managua xG
0.81San Marcos xG
50%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Managua 2.4 – 0.8 San Marcos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultManagua to win ✓71%1.401.12
Double chanceManagua or draw ✓90%1.121.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.991.83
Draw no betManagua (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapManagua -1 (Asian handicap)64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
First team to scoreManagua to score first71%1.40–
Half-time resultManagua ahead at half-time ✓53%1.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT Managua / FT Managua ✓48%2.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9%10.87–

Recent results

Managua – last 6

WWDWDW
11 Oct@ Jalapa1–0W
3 Oct@ Rancho Santana6–1W
11 Sepvs Real Estelí1–1D
7 Sep@ Walter Ferretti3–2W
4 Sepvs Diriangén3–3D
31 Aug@ UNAN Managua2–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

San Marcos – last 6

LLWLWW
12 Octvs H&H Export0–2L
7 Octvs Diriangén1–2L
6 Sepvs Jalapa3–1W
3 Sep@ Real Estelí0–2L
31 Augvs Walter Ferretti1–0W
23 Aug@ Rancho Santana2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Aug 2026San Marcos v Managua1–4
Managua vs San Marcos head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Managua161321+3441
2Diriangén161132+1636
3Real Estelí16943+1531
4UNAN Managua16745-225
5Walter Ferretti16637+621
6H&H Export16628-1220
7San Marcos16448-716
8Jalapa16439-615
9Rancho Santana162410-1710
10Matagalpa163112-2710

More Primera Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Managua vs San Marcos?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Managua vs San Marcos?

On our numbers Managua have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and San Marcos 10%.

How many goals will there be in Managua vs San Marcos?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Managua vs San Marcos?

Our predicted score is Managua 2–0 San Marcos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Managua vs San Marcos?

Managua vs San Marcos (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.