Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultWalter Ferretti to win ✓40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.68
Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Matagalpa welcome Walter Ferretti for a Primera Division fixture on Thursday 15 October (02:00 WAT). In the table, Matagalpa are 10th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 16 matches; Walter Ferretti are 5th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Matagalpa, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Real Estelí, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Walter Ferretti, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Diriangén, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Matagalpa, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Walter Ferretti.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Aug 2026) it ended Walter Ferretti 4–1 Matagalpa. The last 3 head-to-heads: Matagalpa 2 wins, Walter Ferretti 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Matagalpa 1.5 xG, Walter Ferretti 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Matagalpa 37%, draw 23%, Walter Ferretti 40%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Matagalpa 1–1 Walter Ferretti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Matagalpa37%fair 2.67 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Walter Ferretti40%fair 2.50 · @2.40
3.00Expected goals
1.47Matagalpa xG
1.53Walter Ferretti xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Matagalpa 1.5 – 1.5 Walter Ferretti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti?
On our numbers Matagalpa have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Walter Ferretti 40%.
How many goals will there be in Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti?
Our predicted score is Matagalpa 1–1 Walter Ferretti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti?
Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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