Estudiantes de Merida FC 62%Draw 22%Caracas FC 16%Expected goals 2.34 – 1.16
84%
Betarazi pick
Estudiantes de Merida FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Estudiantes de Merida FC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEstudiantes de Merida FC to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceEstudiantes de Merida FC or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Caracas FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Wednesday 21 October: Estudiantes de Merida FC v Caracas FC in the Copa Venezuela.
Current form
Estudiantes de Merida FC, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Metropolitanos FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Caracas FC, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rayo Zuliano, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Caracas FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Estudiantes de Merida FC.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Aug 2026) it ended Caracas FC 2–2 Estudiantes de Merida FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes de Merida FC 2.3 xG, Caracas FC 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes de Merida FC 62%, draw 22%, Caracas FC 16%.
Lower-risk option: Estudiantes de Merida FC or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Estudiantes de Merida FC to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Estudiantes de Merida FC or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes de Merida FC 2–1 Caracas FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estudiantes de Merida FC62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.10
Caracas FC16%fair 6.24 · @3.80
3.50Expected goals
2.34Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
1.16Caracas FC xG
56%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Estudiantes de Merida FC 2.3 – 1.2 Caracas FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes de Merida FC to win✗
62%
1.61
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Estudiantes de Merida FC or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.83
Draw no bet
Estudiantes de Merida FC (draw no bet)
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Estudiantes de Merida FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Estudiantes de Merida FC to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Estudiantes de Merida FC ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes de Merida FC / FT Estudiantes de Merida FC✗
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Caracas FC?
Our pick is Estudiantes de Merida FC or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Caracas FC?
On our numbers Estudiantes de Merida FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Caracas FC 16%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Caracas FC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Caracas FC?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes de Merida FC 2–1 Caracas FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Caracas FC?
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Caracas FC (Copa Venezuela) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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