Barra SE 23%Draw 14%Maruinense 63%Expected goals 0.86 – 1.72
70%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.38
7/10Rating
1.38Odds
2
Value bet: Maruinense to win @ 1.88 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMaruinense to win63% · @1.88
Double chanceEither team to win86% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.58
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.39
Barra SE vs Maruinense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Barra SE v Maruinense in the Sergipano 2. In the table, Barra SE are 5th, upper half, on 2 points after 4 matches; Maruinense are 2nd (among the top four) with 9.
Current form
Barra SE, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Independente Simão Dias, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Maruinense, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Socorro Sport, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Maruinense, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Barra SE.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barra SE 0.9 xG, Maruinense 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barra SE 23%, draw 14%, Maruinense 63%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.58.
Price worth noting: Maruinense to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 63%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barra SE 0–1 Maruinense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barra SE23%fair 4.28 · @3.25
Draw14%fair 7.10 · @3.54
Maruinense63%fair 1.60 · @1.88
2.57Expected goals
0.86Barra SE xG
1.72Maruinense xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Barra SE 0.9 – 1.7 Maruinense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maruinense to win
63%
1.60
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
86%
1.16
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.73
1.58
Draw no bet
Maruinense (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Barra SE +1.5 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.95
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Maruinense to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maruinense / FT Maruinense
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Barra SE – last 3
DLD
4 Nov
@ Independente Simão Dias
0–0
D
1 Nov
@ Frei Paulistano
0–5
L
29 Oct
vs Socorro Sport
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Maruinense – last 3
WLW
4 Nov
vs Socorro Sport
3–1
W
1 Nov
@ Estanciano
0–1
L
29 Oct
vs Frei Paulistano
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barra SE and Maruinense.
What is the prediction for Barra SE vs Maruinense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Barra SE vs Maruinense?
On our numbers Barra SE have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Maruinense 63%.
How many goals will there be in Barra SE vs Maruinense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barra SE vs Maruinense?
Our predicted score is Barra SE 0–1 Maruinense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Barra SE vs Maruinense?
Barra SE vs Maruinense (Sergipano 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
