Socorro Sport 61%Draw 24%Estanciano 16%Expected goals 1.70 – 0.73
84%
Betarazi pick
Socorro Sport or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Socorro Sport to win @ 1.82 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSocorro Sport to win ✗61% · @1.82
Double chanceSocorro Sport or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.61
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Socorro Sport vs Estanciano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estanciano travel to face Socorro Sport on Sunday 8 November in the Sergipano 2 – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Socorro Sport are 4th, among the top four, on 4 points after 4 matches; Estanciano are 3rd (among the top four) with 7. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Socorro Sport, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Maruinense, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Estanciano, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Frei Paulistano, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Socorro Sport 1.7 xG, Estanciano 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Socorro Sport 61%, draw 24%, Estanciano 16%.
Lower-risk option: Socorro Sport or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.61.
Price worth noting: Socorro Sport to win @1.82 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Socorro Sport or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Socorro Sport 1–0 Estanciano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Socorro Sport61%fair 1.64 · @1.82
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.54
Estanciano16%fair 6.39 · @3.61
2.43Expected goals
1.70Socorro Sport xG
0.73Estanciano xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Socorro Sport 1.7 – 0.7 Estanciano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Socorro Sport to win✗
61%
1.64
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Socorro Sport or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.61
Draw no bet
Socorro Sport (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Socorro Sport -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
2.01
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.37
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.12
First team to score
Socorro Sport to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Socorro Sport / FT Socorro Sport✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Socorro Sport – last 3
LWD
4 Nov
@ Maruinense
1–3
L
1 Nov
vs Independente Simão Dias
5–0
W
29 Oct
@ Barra SE
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Estanciano – last 3
LWD
4 Nov
vs Frei Paulistano
0–2
L
1 Nov
vs Maruinense
1–0
W
29 Oct
@ Independente Simão Dias
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Socorro Sport and Estanciano.
What is the prediction for Socorro Sport vs Estanciano?
Our pick is Socorro Sport or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Socorro Sport vs Estanciano?
On our numbers Socorro Sport have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Estanciano 16%.
How many goals will there be in Socorro Sport vs Estanciano?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Socorro Sport vs Estanciano?
Our predicted score is Socorro Sport 1–0 Estanciano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Socorro Sport vs Estanciano?
Socorro Sport vs Estanciano (Sergipano 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
