Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.43 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
Picks by market
ResultBurgan to win ✓67% · @1.25
Double chanceBurgan or draw ✓87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Burgan vs Shamiya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Burgan welcome Shamiya for a Division 1 fixture on Wednesday 4 November (15:30 WAT). In the table, Burgan are 5th on 4 points after 3 matches; Shamiya are 6th with 0.
Current form
Burgan, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Yarmouk, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Shamiya, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Yarmouk, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Burgan, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.0 for Shamiya.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Aug 2026) it ended Burgan 4–1 Shamiya.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burgan 2.0 xG, Shamiya 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burgan 67%, draw 20%, Shamiya 13%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.87.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burgan 1–0 Shamiya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burgan67%fair 1.50 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @5.25
Shamiya13%fair 7.71 · @7.60
2.72Expected goals
1.99Burgan xG
0.74Shamiya xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Burgan 2.0 – 0.7 Shamiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Burgan vs Shamiya?
On our numbers Burgan have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Shamiya 13%.
How many goals will there be in Burgan vs Shamiya?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burgan vs Shamiya?
Our predicted score is Burgan 1–0 Shamiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Burgan vs Shamiya?
Burgan vs Shamiya (Division 1) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
