Value bet: Both teams to score @ 3.34 – our chance 51% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +69%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultYarmouk to win ✓76% · @1.05
Double chanceYarmouk or draw ✓88% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @3.34
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35
Yarmouk vs Sporty: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sporty travel to face Yarmouk on Wednesday 4 November in the Division 1 – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Yarmouk are 2nd on 7 points after 3 matches; Sporty are 7th with 0.
Current form
Yarmouk, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Shamiya, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Sporty, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Al Jazira, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Yarmouk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Sporty.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Jul 2026) it ended Sporty 1–2 Yarmouk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yarmouk 2.8 xG, Sporty 1.0 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yarmouk 76%, draw 12%, Sporty 12%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 3.34.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @3.34 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yarmouk 2–1 Sporty. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yarmouk76%fair 1.31 · @1.05
Draw12%fair 8.29 · @11.00
Sporty12%fair 8.56 · @34.00
3.75Expected goals
2.78Yarmouk xG
0.97Sporty xG
51%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–09%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–16%
From our goals model: Yarmouk 2.8 – 1.0 Sporty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Yarmouk vs Sporty?
On our numbers Yarmouk have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Sporty 12%.
How many goals will there be in Yarmouk vs Sporty?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yarmouk vs Sporty?
Our predicted score is Yarmouk 2–1 Sporty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Yarmouk vs Sporty?
Yarmouk vs Sporty (Division 1) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
