New Mexico United 62%Draw 21%Phoenix Rising 17%Expected goals 1.93 – 0.90
83%
Betarazi pick
New Mexico United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: New Mexico United to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNew Mexico United to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceNew Mexico United or draw ✓83% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 2 November the USL Championship brings New Mexico United against Phoenix Rising at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, New Mexico United are 1st, leading the league, on 52 points after 30 matches; Phoenix Rising are 8th (lower half) with 40. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
New Mexico United, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over El Paso Locomotive, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Phoenix Rising, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Lexington, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Oct 2026) it ended New Mexico United 2–1 Phoenix Rising. The last 3 head-to-heads: New Mexico United 2 wins, Phoenix Rising 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New Mexico United 1.9 xG, Phoenix Rising 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New Mexico United 62%, draw 21%, Phoenix Rising 17%.
Lower-risk option: New Mexico United or draw (83%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: New Mexico United to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was New Mexico United or draw (83%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: New Mexico United 1–0 Phoenix Rising. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New Mexico United62%fair 1.62 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
Phoenix Rising17%fair 5.84 · @3.30
2.83Expected goals
1.93New Mexico United xG
0.90Phoenix Rising xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: New Mexico United 1.9 – 0.9 Phoenix Rising expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
Our pick is New Mexico United or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
On our numbers New Mexico United have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Phoenix Rising 17%.
How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
Our predicted score is New Mexico United 1–0 Phoenix Rising, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising (USL Championship) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
