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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sacramento Republic v FC Tulsa: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Heart Health Park
1–0
FT
Sacramento Republic 65%Draw 19%FC Tulsa 16% Expected goals 1.64 – 0.61
65%
Betarazi pick

Sacramento Republic to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultSacramento Republic to win ✓65% · @1.57
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57

Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

03:00 WAT, Monday 2 November: Sacramento Republic v FC Tulsa in the USL Championship, played at Heart Health Park. In the table, Sacramento Republic are 2nd, among the top four, on 51 points after 30 matches; FC Tulsa are 7th (lower half) with 43.

Current form

Sacramento Republic, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Oakland Roots, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

FC Tulsa, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Colorado Springs, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Sacramento Republic, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for FC Tulsa.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Oct 2026) it ended FC Tulsa 1–1 Sacramento Republic. The last 3 head-to-heads: Sacramento Republic 1 win, FC Tulsa 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sacramento Republic 1.6 xG, FC Tulsa 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sacramento Republic 65%, draw 19%, FC Tulsa 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sacramento Republic or draw (84%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sacramento Republic to win (65%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sacramento Republic 1–0 FC Tulsa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sacramento Republic65%fair 1.54 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.60
FC Tulsa16%fair 6.34 · @5.00
2.25Expected goals
1.64Sacramento Republic xG
0.61FC Tulsa xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Sacramento Republic 1.6 – 0.6 FC Tulsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSacramento Republic to win ✓65%1.541.57
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓84%1.191.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.952.05 ▲
Draw no betSacramento Republic (draw no bet) ✓80%1.24–
Asian handicapSacramento Republic -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreSacramento Republic to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic ✗39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.57–

Recent results

Sacramento Republic – last 6

WWDDWW
25 Octvs Oakland Roots3–2W
18 Oct@ El Paso Locomotive1–0W
11 Octvs Colorado Springs1–1D
4 Oct@ FC Tulsa1–1D
1 Octvs Las Vegas Lights3–2W
27 Sep@ New Mexico United3–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Tulsa – last 6

LLDDWD
25 Oct@ Colorado Springs0–2L
18 Octvs Oakland Roots2–4L
10 Oct@ Lexington0–0D
4 Octvs Sacramento Republic1–1D
1 Octvs New Mexico United1–0W
26 Sep@ El Paso Locomotive1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Oct 2026FC Tulsa v Sacramento Republic1–1
6 Aug 2026FC Tulsa v Sacramento Republic1–0
8 Mar 2026Sacramento Republic v FC Tulsa2–0
Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa?

Our pick is Sacramento Republic to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa?

On our numbers Sacramento Republic have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Tulsa 16%.

How many goals will there be in Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa?

Our predicted score is Sacramento Republic 1–0 FC Tulsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa?

Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa (USL Championship) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Heart Health Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.