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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CA La Paz v Tlaxcala: numbers & prediction

Liga De Expansión MX · Mexico · Estadio Guaycura
3–3
FT
CA La Paz 62%Draw 19%Tlaxcala 19% Expected goals 2.34 – 1.24
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultCA La Paz to win ✗62% · @1.56
Double chanceCA La Paz or draw ✓81% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58

CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tlaxcala travel to face CA La Paz on Sunday 8 November in the Liga De Expansión MX, with Estadio Guaycura the venue – the ball rolls at 04:05 WAT. In the table, CA La Paz are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 15 matches; Tlaxcala are 8th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

CA La Paz, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tlaxcala, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Tlaxcala, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CA La Paz, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Nov 2026) it ended Tlaxcala 0–1 CA La Paz. The last 3 head-to-heads: CA La Paz 2 wins, Tlaxcala 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CA La Paz 2.3 xG, Tlaxcala 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CA La Paz 62%, draw 19%, Tlaxcala 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: CA La Paz or draw (81%) at 1.16.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: CA La Paz 2–1 Tlaxcala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CA La Paz62%fair 1.62 · @1.56
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @4.45
Tlaxcala19%fair 5.26 · @4.55
3.59Expected goals
2.34CA La Paz xG
1.24Tlaxcala xG
65%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–06%
3–06%

From our goals model: CA La Paz 2.3 – 1.2 Tlaxcala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCA La Paz to win ✗62%1.621.56
Double chanceCA La Paz or draw ✓81%1.231.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.551.42
Draw no betCA La Paz (draw no bet)76%1.31–
Asian handicapCA La Paz -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.161.06
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.931.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗70%1.421.30
First team to scoreCA La Paz to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultCA La Paz ahead at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT CA La Paz / FT CA La Paz ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.58–

Recent results

CA La Paz – last 6

WWWDWL
5 Nov@ Tlaxcala1–0W
31 Octvs Dorados3–0W
25 Oct@ CDS Tampico Madero3–1W
17 Octvs Tlaxcala2–2D
10 Oct@ Tapatío4–2W
3 Octvs Venados FC1–2L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tlaxcala – last 6

LWWDWD
5 Novvs CA La Paz0–1L
31 Oct@ Cruz Azul Hidalgo2–0W
25 Octvs Correcaminos Uat2–0W
17 Oct@ CA La Paz2–2D
10 Octvs Piratas4–2W
4 Oct@ Monarcas1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Nov 2026Tlaxcala v CA La Paz0–1
17 Oct 2026CA La Paz v Tlaxcala2–2
8 Mar 2026CA La Paz v Tlaxcala2–0
CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala head-to-head page →

Liga De Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz15933+1830
2Leones Negros UDG15933+1430
3Monarcas15825+726
4Piratas15744+1225
5Cancún15744+1025
6Venados FC15744+625
7Durango15735+624
8Tlaxcala15645+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15717-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas15537018
11Tapatío15537-318
12Correcaminos Uat15456-317
13Dorados15447-916
14CDS Tampico Madero15438-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo15357-714
16Tepatitlán152112-337

More Liga De Expansión MX predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

On our numbers CA La Paz have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tlaxcala 19%.

How many goals will there be in CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

Our predicted score is CA La Paz 2–1 Tlaxcala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?

CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 04:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.