Monarcas 62%Draw 21%Venados FC 17%Expected goals 2.13 – 1.02
62%
Betarazi pick
Monarcas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultMonarcas to win ✓62% · @1.65
Double chanceMonarcas or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.08
Monarcas vs Venados FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Liga De Expansión MX brings Monarcas against Venados FC at Estadio Morelos. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Monarcas are 3rd, among the top four, on 26 points after 15 matches; Venados FC are 6th (upper half) with 25. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Monarcas, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Durango, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Venados FC, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Correcaminos Uat, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Venados FC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Monarcas.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Sep 2026) it ended Venados FC 2–1 Monarcas. The last 2 head-to-heads: Monarcas 1 win, Venados FC 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monarcas 2.1 xG, Venados FC 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monarcas 62%, draw 21%, Venados FC 17%.
Lower-risk option: Monarcas or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Monarcas to win (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monarcas 2–1 Venados FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monarcas62%fair 1.61 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.94
Venados FC17%fair 5.95 · @4.58
3.15Expected goals
2.13Monarcas xG
1.02Venados FC xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Monarcas 2.1 – 1.0 Venados FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Monarcas vs Venados FC?
Our pick is Monarcas to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Monarcas vs Venados FC?
On our numbers Monarcas have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Venados FC 17%.
How many goals will there be in Monarcas vs Venados FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monarcas vs Venados FC?
Our predicted score is Monarcas 2–1 Venados FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Monarcas vs Venados FC?
Monarcas vs Venados FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Morelos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
