Colon Santa Fe 54%Draw 28%Midland 18%Expected goals 1.38 – 0.71
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.44
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultColon Santa Fe to win54% · @1.83
Double chanceColon Santa Fe or draw82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.97
Colon Santa Fe vs Midland: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 November the Primera Nacional brings Colon Santa Fe against Midland. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Colon Santa Fe are 5th, upper half, on 60 points after 36 matches; Midland are 5th (upper half) with 55.
Current form
Colon Santa Fe, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Defensores De Belgrano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Midland, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atlanta, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Colon Santa Fe, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Midland.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colon Santa Fe 1.4 xG, Midland 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colon Santa Fe 54%, draw 28%, Midland 18%.
Lower-risk option: Colon Santa Fe or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colon Santa Fe 1–1 Midland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colon Santa Fe54%fair 1.85 · @1.83
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.10
Midland18%fair 5.54 · @4.33
2.09Expected goals
1.38Colon Santa Fe xG
0.71Midland xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–012%
1–112%
2–012%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Colon Santa Fe 1.4 – 0.7 Midland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Colon Santa Fe
Midland
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+22%
+28%
Goals conceded vs average
-27%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.31
0.73
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colon Santa Fe to win
54%
1.85
1.83
Double chance
Colon Santa Fe or draw
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.99
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Colon Santa Fe (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Midland +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
93%
1.08
1.05
First team to score
Colon Santa Fe to score first
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colon Santa Fe / FT Colon Santa Fe
31%
3.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.97
–
Recent results
Colon Santa Fe – last 6
WWDDWD
31 Oct
vs Defensores De Belgrano
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Ciudad de Bolívar
2–0
W
17 Oct
vs Almirante Brown
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ Atletico Mitre
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs CA Estudiantes
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ All Boys
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Midland – last 6
DWLWDL
31 Oct
@ Atlanta
0–0
D
25 Oct
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
3–0
W
17 Oct
@ San Martin Tucuman
2–3
L
10 Oct
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
4–0
W
4 Oct
@ Agropecuario
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Tristan Suarez
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colon Santa Fe and Midland.
What is the prediction for Colon Santa Fe vs Midland?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Colon Santa Fe vs Midland?
On our numbers Colon Santa Fe have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Midland 18%.
How many goals will there be in Colon Santa Fe vs Midland?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colon Santa Fe vs Midland?
Our predicted score is Colon Santa Fe 1–1 Midland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Colon Santa Fe vs Midland?
Colon Santa Fe vs Midland (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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