Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Madryn to win54% · @1.75
Double chanceDeportivo Madryn or draw83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.94
Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Maipu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Saturday 14 November: Deportivo Madryn v Deportivo Maipu in the Primera Nacional, played at Estadio Abel Sastre. In the table, Deportivo Madryn are 4th, among the top four, on 60 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Maipu are 6th (upper half) with 52.
Current form
Deportivo Madryn, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Miguel, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Maipu, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tristan Suarez, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Madryn 1.5 xG, Deportivo Maipu 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Madryn 54%, draw 28%, Deportivo Maipu 17%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Madryn or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Madryn 1–0 Deportivo Maipu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Madryn54%fair 1.84 · @1.75
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.25
Deportivo Maipu17%fair 5.72 · @4.75
2.16Expected goals
1.46Deportivo Madryn xG
0.70Deportivo Maipu xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–012%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Madryn 1.5 – 0.7 Deportivo Maipu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Madryn
Deportivo Maipu
Attack vs Primera Nacional average
+35%
+0%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
-18%
Our expected goals here
1.36
0.64
Our own ratings from every Primera Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Madryn to win
54%
1.84
1.75
Double chance
Deportivo Madryn or draw
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.97
1.67
Draw no bet
Deportivo Madryn (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Maipu +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.09
1.06
First team to score
Deportivo Madryn to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Madryn / FT Deportivo Madryn
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
5.94
–
Recent results
Deportivo Madryn – last 6
WWDLWD
31 Oct
@ San Miguel
1–0
W
24 Oct
vs San Telmo
4–1
W
17 Oct
@ Acassuso
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Chaco For Ever
1–2
L
2 Oct
@ Ferro Carril Oeste
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Central Norte
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportivo Maipu – last 6
DWLDWW
31 Oct
@ Tristan Suarez
0–0
D
25 Oct
vs Club Atlético Güemes
3–1
W
17 Oct
@ Chacarita Juniors
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs San Martin S.J.
1–1
D
5 Oct
@ Nueva Chicago
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs Temperley
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Madryn and Deportivo Maipu.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Maipu?
On our numbers Deportivo Madryn have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Deportivo Maipu 17%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Maipu?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Madryn 1–0 Deportivo Maipu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Maipu?
Deportivo Madryn vs Deportivo Maipu (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abel Sastre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atlanta
Temperley
Midland