Louisville City 60%Draw 22%Miami FC 18%Expected goals 2.03 – 1.04
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultLouisville City to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Louisville City vs Miami FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Miami FC travel to face Louisville City on Sunday 8 November in the USL Championship, with Lynn Family Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Louisville City are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; Miami FC are 8th (lower half) with 36.
Current form
Louisville City, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Pittsburgh Riverhounds, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Miami FC, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tampa Bay Rowdies, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Louisville City, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Miami FC.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Miami FC 4–3 Louisville City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Louisville City 2.0 xG, Miami FC 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Louisville City 60%, draw 22%, Miami FC 18%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Louisville City 2–1 Miami FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Louisville City60%fair 1.67 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Miami FC18%fair 5.45 · @4.75
3.06Expected goals
2.03Louisville City xG
1.04Miami FC xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Louisville City 2.0 – 1.0 Miami FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Louisville City vs Miami FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Louisville City vs Miami FC?
On our numbers Louisville City have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Miami FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Louisville City vs Miami FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Louisville City vs Miami FC?
Our predicted score is Louisville City 2–1 Miami FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Louisville City vs Miami FC?
Louisville City vs Miami FC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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