Sacramento Republic v El Paso Locomotive Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSacramento Republic to win ✓59% · @1.62

Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓83% · @1.12

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.31

Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 November the USL Championship brings Sacramento Republic against El Paso Locomotive at Heart Health Park. Kick-off: 04:00 WAT. In the table, Sacramento Republic are 2nd, among the top four, on 51 points after 30 matches; El Paso Locomotive are 3rd (among the top four) with 50. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sacramento Republic, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Tulsa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

El Paso Locomotive, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over San Antonio, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sacramento Republic, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for El Paso Locomotive.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Oct 2026) it ended El Paso Locomotive 0–1 Sacramento Republic. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sacramento Republic 1 win, El Paso Locomotive 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sacramento Republic 1.8 xG, El Paso Locomotive 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sacramento Republic 59%, draw 24%, El Paso Locomotive 17%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sacramento Republic 2–0 El Paso Locomotive. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sacramento Republic59%fair 1.69 · @1.62

Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.50

El Paso Locomotive17%fair 5.84 · @4.50

2.63Expected goals

1.78Sacramento Republic xG

0.84El Paso Locomotive xG

51%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

2–011%

1–111%

2–110%

0–07%

3–07%

From our goals model: Sacramento Republic 1.8 – 0.8 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sacramento Republic to win ✓	59%	1.69	1.62
Double chance	Sacramento Republic or draw ✓	83%	1.21	1.12
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	51%	1.94	1.83
Draw no bet	Sacramento Republic (draw no bet) ✓	78%	1.29	–
Asian handicap	El Paso Locomotive +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.36	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	51%	1.98	1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.17	1.12
First team to score	Sacramento Republic to score first	63%	1.59	–
Half-time result	Sacramento Republic ahead at half-time ✗	42%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic ✗	37%	2.69	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	10%	10.31	–

Sacramento Republic – last 6

WWWDDW

2 Nov	vs FC Tulsa	1–0	W
25 Oct	vs Oakland Roots	3–2	W
18 Oct	@ El Paso Locomotive	1–0	W
11 Oct	vs Colorado Springs	1–1	D
4 Oct	@ FC Tulsa	1–1	D
1 Oct	vs Las Vegas Lights	3–2	W

1.7Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

El Paso Locomotive – last 6

WLLWLD

31 Oct	vs San Antonio	2–1	W
25 Oct	vs New Mexico United	0–1	L
18 Oct	vs Sacramento Republic	0–1	L
11 Oct	vs Orange County SC	2–1	W
4 Oct	@ Lexington	1–3	L
26 Sep	vs FC Tulsa	1–1	D

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	15	7	8	+11	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	13	12	5	+14	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	15	5	10	+10	50
4	Lexington	30	14	6	10	+18	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	13	8	9	+6	47
6	San Antonio	30	11	12	7	+2	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	11	10	9	+3	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	10	10	10	-1	40
9	Orange County SC	30	10	9	11	-10	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	9	11	10	-1	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	10	6	14	-7	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	6	6	18	-20	24

Team

Pts

+11

+14

+10

+18

-1

-10

-1

-7

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?

On our numbers Sacramento Republic have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and El Paso Locomotive 17%.

How many goals will there be in Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?

Our predicted score is Sacramento Republic 2–0 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?

Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Heart Health Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sacramento Republic v El Paso Locomotive: numbers & prediction