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Central Espanol v Boston River: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Parque Palermo
Sat 14 Nov 2026
Central Espanol 30%Draw 28%Boston River 42% Expected goals 1.04 – 1.26
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultBoston River to win42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113% · fair 7.90

Central Espanol vs Boston River: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 14 November the Primera División Apertura brings Central Espanol against Boston River at Parque Palermo. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Central Espanol are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; Boston River are 11th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Central Espanol, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cerro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Boston River, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over San Carlos, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Boston River, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Central Espanol.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Jul 2026) it ended Boston River 0–0 Central Espanol.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Central Espanol 1.0 xG, Boston River 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Central Espanol 30%, draw 28%, Boston River 42%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Central Espanol 1–1 Boston River. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Central Espanol30%fair 3.31 · @3.00
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.10
Boston River42%fair 2.38 · @2.15
2.29Expected goals
1.04Central Espanol xG
1.26Boston River xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Central Espanol 1.0 – 1.3 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Central EspanolBoston River
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average-31%-15%
Goals conceded vs average+24%+8%
Our expected goals here0.961.13

Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBoston River to win42%2.382.15
Double chanceEither team to win72%1.381.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score50%1.991.83
Draw no betBoston River (draw no bet)58%1.72–
Asian handicapCentral Espanol +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.451.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals57%1.761.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals78%1.291.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.111.08
First team to scoreBoston River to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Boston River / FT Boston River24%4.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113%7.90–

Recent results

Central Espanol – last 6

WLLLLL
31 Oct@ Cerro2–1W
24 Octvs Albion FC1–3L
18 Oct@ Danubio0–1L
15 Octvs Danubio0–6L
11 Octvs Club Nacional0–1L
3 Oct@ Deportivo Maldonado0–3L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Boston River – last 6

WLLWDW
4 Nov@ San Carlos2–0W
1 Novvs Atletico Torque1–2L
25 Oct@ Cerro Largo0–2L
17 Octvs Defensor Sporting1–0W
14 Octvs CA River Plate0–0D
10 Oct@ Wanderers3–1W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Jul 2026Boston River v Central Espanol0–0
Central Espanol vs Boston River head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Central Espanol vs Boston River?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Central Espanol vs Boston River?

On our numbers Central Espanol have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Boston River 42%.

How many goals will there be in Central Espanol vs Boston River?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Central Espanol vs Boston River?

Our predicted score is Central Espanol 1–1 Boston River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Central Espanol vs Boston River?

Central Espanol vs Boston River (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.