La Luz 40%Draw 31%Fenix 29%Expected goals 1.27 – 0.99
71%
Betarazi pick
La Luz or draw
Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.24
7/10Rating
1.24Odds
Picks by market
ResultLa Luz to win40% · @2.57
Double chanceLa Luz or draw71% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.03
La Luz vs Fenix: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 11 November the Segunda División brings La Luz against Fenix. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, La Luz are 9th, lower half, on 34 points after 25 matches; Fenix are 11th (lower half) with 31. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
La Luz, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Rentistas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Fenix, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cerrito, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours La Luz, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Fenix.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Fenix 0–0 La Luz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give La Luz 1.3 xG, Fenix 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – La Luz 40%, draw 31%, Fenix 29%.
Lower-risk option: La Luz or draw (71%) at 1.24.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.87.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with La Luz or draw (71%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: La Luz 1–0 Fenix. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
La Luz40%fair 2.52 · @2.57
Draw31%fair 3.18 · @2.39
Fenix29%fair 3.47 · @3.18
2.26Expected goals
1.27La Luz xG
0.99Fenix xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: La Luz 1.3 – 1.0 Fenix expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
La Luz
Fenix
Attack vs Segunda División average
-6%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.30
0.95
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is La Luz or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win La Luz vs Fenix?
On our numbers La Luz have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Fenix 29%.
How many goals will there be in La Luz vs Fenix?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Luz vs Fenix?
Our predicted score is La Luz 1–0 Fenix, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is La Luz vs Fenix?
La Luz vs Fenix (Segunda División) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
