Value bet: Tacuarembo to win @ 3.82 – our chance 28% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMiramar to win41% · @2.01
Double chanceMiramar or draw72% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.04
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–27% · fair 13.76
Tacuarembo vs Miramar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Wednesday 11 November: Tacuarembo v Miramar in the Segunda División. In the table, Tacuarembo are 13th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 25 matches; Miramar are 12th (in the drop zone) with 30.
Current form
Tacuarembo, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CA River Plate, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Miramar, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Plaza Colonia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Miramar, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Tacuarembo.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Miramar 1–1 Tacuarembo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tacuarembo 1.0 xG, Miramar 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tacuarembo 28%, draw 30%, Miramar 41%.
Lower-risk option: Miramar or draw (72%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.04.
Price worth noting: Tacuarembo to win @3.82 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 28%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacuarembo 0–1 Miramar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tacuarembo28%fair 3.53 · @3.82
Draw30%fair 3.29 · @2.76
Miramar41%fair 2.42 · @2.01
2.03Expected goals
0.95Tacuarembo xG
1.08Miramar xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Tacuarembo 1.0 – 1.1 Miramar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tacuarembo
Miramar
Attack vs Segunda División average
-28%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+2%
Our expected goals here
0.96
0.91
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Tacuarembo vs Miramar?
On our numbers Tacuarembo have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Miramar 41%.
How many goals will there be in Tacuarembo vs Miramar?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacuarembo vs Miramar?
Our predicted score is Tacuarembo 0–1 Miramar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Tacuarembo vs Miramar?
Tacuarembo vs Miramar (Segunda División) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
