Value bet: Valmiera BSS to win @ 3.10 – our chance 43% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultValmiera BSS to win43% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.24
Valmiera BSS vs Tukums: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 November the Virsliga brings Valmiera BSS against Tukums at Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Valmiera BSS, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Skanste, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Tukums, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Auda, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Valmiera BSS, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Tukums.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valmiera BSS 2.0 xG, Tukums 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valmiera BSS 43%, draw 20%, Tukums 37%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Valmiera BSS to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 43%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valmiera BSS 2–1 Tukums. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valmiera BSS43%fair 2.33 · @3.10
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.60
Tukums37%fair 2.74 · @1.95
3.19Expected goals
1.98Valmiera BSS xG
1.21Tukums xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Valmiera BSS 2.0 – 1.2 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valmiera BSS to win
43%
2.33
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.65
1.55
Draw no bet
Valmiera BSS (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Tukums +1.5 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Valmiera BSS to score first
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Valmiera BSS ahead at half-time
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valmiera BSS / FT Valmiera BSS
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Valmiera BSS – last 6
WDWDDL
7 Nov
vs Skanste
3–2
W
31 Oct
@ Leevon PPK
0–0
D
24 Oct
vs JFK Ventspils
3–0
W
18 Oct
vs Tukums II
2–2
D
10 Oct
vs Super Nova 2
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Riga Mariners
2–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tukums – last 6
LLDLLD
8 Nov
vs Auda
1–2
L
1 Nov
@ BFC Daugavpils
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ FK Liepaja
0–0
D
19 Oct
@ Rīgas FS
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Riga
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Grobiņa
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valmiera BSS and Tukums.
What is the prediction for Valmiera BSS vs Tukums?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Valmiera BSS vs Tukums?
On our numbers Valmiera BSS have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tukums 37%.
How many goals will there be in Valmiera BSS vs Tukums?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valmiera BSS vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is Valmiera BSS 2–1 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Valmiera BSS vs Tukums?
Valmiera BSS vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
