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Legia Warszawa v Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Legia Warszawa

LDLDW
Sat 14 Nov 2026

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

LLLLW
Legia Warszawa 59%Draw 19%Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 22% Expected goals 2.11 – 1.16
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.49

6/10Rating
1.49Odds

Picks by market

ResultLegia Warszawa to win59% · @1.74
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score65% · @1.49
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.18

Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki travel to face Legia Warszawa on Saturday 14 November in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 11:30 WAT.

Current form

Legia Warszawa, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Raków Częstochowa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pogoń Siedlce, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Legia Warszawa, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Legia Warszawa 2–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Legia Warszawa 2.1 xG, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Legia Warszawa 59%, draw 19%, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.49.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.49). Most likely score in line with that pick: Legia Warszawa 2–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Legia Warszawa59%fair 1.70 · @1.74
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.93
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki22%fair 4.59 · @3.54
3.26Expected goals
2.11Legia Warszawa xG
1.16Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
65%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Legia Warszawa 2.1 – 1.2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Legia WarszawaPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average-0%-12%
Goals conceded vs average-20%+26%
Our expected goals here2.181.14

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLegia Warszawa to win59%1.701.74
Double chanceEither team to win81%1.241.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score65%1.551.49
Draw no betLegia Warszawa (draw no bet)73%1.37–
Asian handicapPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki +1.5 (Asian handicap)64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals62%1.601.49
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals60%1.671.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals77%1.30–
First team to scoreLegia Warszawa to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultLegia Warszawa ahead at half-time44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.18–

Recent results

Legia Warszawa – last 6

LDLDWW
8 Novvs Raków Częstochowa2–4L
30 Oct@ Gornik Zabrze0–0D
25 Octvs Lech Poznan1–2L
17 Oct@ Cracovia Krakow1–1D
11 Octvs Wisla Krakow2–0W
20 Sep@ Jagiellonia3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki – last 6

LLLLWL
8 Nov@ Pogoń Siedlce1–2L
30 Octvs Stal Mielec0–1L
25 Oct@ Ruch Chorzów0–2L
17 Octvs Polonia Warszawa0–1L
10 Oct@ Chrobry Głogów4–0W
2 Oct@ Radomiak Radom2–7L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Legia Warszawa v Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2–1
Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki head-to-head page →

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Zorya Luhansk FC Kharkiv 138%2.53X23%3.57239%2.23 1.6–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.57
Ried First Vienna 150%1.67X20%3.90230%3.76 1.9–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.47

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.

Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

On our numbers Legia Warszawa have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 22%.

How many goals will there be in Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Our predicted score is Legia Warszawa 2–1 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.