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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CSKA Moscow v Arsenal Tula: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

CSKA Moscow

LDWWL
Sat 14 Nov 2026

Arsenal Tula

LLWLW
CSKA Moscow 59%Draw 21%Arsenal Tula 20% Expected goals 2.08 – 1.36
63%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.60

6/10Rating
1.60Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.87 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultCSKA Moscow to win59% · @1.33
Double chanceCSKA Moscow or draw80% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.59

CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CSKA Moscow welcome Arsenal Tula for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Saturday 14 November (12:00 WAT).

Current form

CSKA Moscow, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to FC Krasnodar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Arsenal Tula, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chelyabinsk, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours CSKA Moscow, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Arsenal Tula.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Oct 2026) it ended CSKA Moscow 3–1 Arsenal Tula. The last 2 head-to-heads: CSKA Moscow 1 win, Arsenal Tula 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CSKA Moscow 2.1 xG, Arsenal Tula 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA Moscow 59%, draw 21%, Arsenal Tula 20%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.87.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.87 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA Moscow 2–1 Arsenal Tula. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CSKA Moscow59%fair 1.68 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.80
Arsenal Tula20%fair 5.01 · @8.70
3.44Expected goals
2.08CSKA Moscow xG
1.36Arsenal Tula xG
57%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 2.1 – 1.4 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CSKA MoscowArsenal Tula
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average-5%-8%
Goals conceded vs average+3%+13%
Our expected goals here1.851.53

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSKA Moscow to win59%1.681.33
Double chanceCSKA Moscow or draw80%1.251.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.751.87 ▲
Draw no betCSKA Moscow (draw no bet)75%1.34–
Asian handicapArsenal Tula +1.5 (Asian handicap)68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals83%1.211.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals63%1.601.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals58%1.711.46
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals76%1.311.15
First team to scoreCSKA Moscow to score first59%1.71–
Half-time resultCSKA Moscow ahead at half-time41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSKA Moscow / FT CSKA Moscow34%2.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.59–

Recent results

CSKA Moscow – last 6

LDWWLW
7 Nov@ FC Krasnodar2–4L
1 Nov@ FC Orenburg0–0D
29 Octvs Lokomotiv3–1W
25 Octvs Spartak Moscow2–0W
18 Oct@ Dynamo1–3L
14 Octvs FC Rostov4–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Arsenal Tula – last 6

LLWLWL
7 Novvs Chelyabinsk1–2L
30 Oct@ Nizhny Novgorod0–4L
24 Octvs KAMAZ4–3W
17 Oct@ FC UFA0–2L
9 Octvs Spartak Kostroma3–2W
4 Oct@ CSKA Moscow1–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Oct 2026CSKA Moscow v Arsenal Tula3–1
4 Jul 2026CSKA Moscow v Arsenal Tula1–1
CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

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PK-35 Inter Turku II 165%1.24X17%5.90218%7.60 2.1–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.21
Legia Warszawa Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 157%1.74X20%3.93223%3.54 2.1–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 62%@1.49
Obolon'-Brovar Nyva Vinnytsya 163%1.09X21%7.07217%16.00 1.7–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.56
Widzew Łódź Unia Skierniewice 159%1.46X19%4.66221%4.78 2.1–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 67%@1.29
BFC Dynamo Tasmania Berlin 155%1.50X20%4.58225%4.43 2.1–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.37
Novi Pazar Otrant-Olympic 149%1.54X20%4.56231%4.16 1.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.27
Zorya Luhansk FC Kharkiv 138%2.53X23%3.57239%2.23 1.6–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.57
Ried First Vienna 145%1.67X20%3.90235%3.76 1.8–1.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.44

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?

On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arsenal Tula 20%.

How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?

Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 2–1 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?

CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.