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India v Bhutan: numbers & prediction

SAFF Championship · Asia · Bangabandhu National Stadium

India

LWLLD
Sat 14 Nov 2026
India 72%Draw 13%Bhutan 15% Expected goals 2.29 – 0.86
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.36

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultIndia to win72% · @1.18
Double chanceEither team to win87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–09% · fair 11.72

India vs Bhutan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 14 November the SAFF Championship brings India against Bhutan at Bangabandhu National Stadium. Kick-off: 10:00 WAT. In the table, India are 1st on 6 points after 2 matches; Bhutan are 2nd with 1.

Current form

India, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to New Zealand, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Bhutan, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Sri Lanka, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give India 2.3 xG, Bhutan 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 45% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – India 72%, draw 13%, Bhutan 15%.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.40.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: India 2–1 Bhutan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

India72%fair 1.39 · @1.18
Draw13%fair 7.88 · @6.25
Bhutan15%fair 6.54 · @13.00
3.15Expected goals
2.29India xG
0.86Bhutan xG
45%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: India 2.3 – 0.9 Bhutan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndia to win72%1.391.18
Double chanceEither team to win87%1.151.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score55%1.811.40
Draw no betIndia (draw no bet)82%1.21–
Asian handicapIndia -1 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals84%1.191.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals65%1.541.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals56%1.801.83
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals74%1.351.36
First team to scoreIndia to score first69%1.44–
Half-time resultIndia ahead at half-time51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT India / FT India46%2.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–09%11.72–

Recent results

India – last 6

LWLLDD
12 Nov@ New Zealand0–5L
11 Novvs Maldives1–0W
6 Octvs Uruguay1–6L
3 Octvs Brazil0–4L
25 Sepvs Panama1–1D
9 Jun@ Tajikistan1–1D
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bhutan – last 3

LLW
8 Jun@ Sri Lanka1–4L
4 Jun@ Cambodia0–4L
31 Marvs Brunei2–1W
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between India and Bhutan.

India vs Bhutan head-to-head page →

SAFF Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bangladesh2200+56
2Bhutan2011-11
3Sri Lanka2011-41

More SAFF Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for India vs Bhutan?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win India vs Bhutan?

On our numbers India have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Bhutan 15%.

How many goals will there be in India vs Bhutan?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for India vs Bhutan?

Our predicted score is India 2–1 Bhutan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is India vs Bhutan?

India vs Bhutan (SAFF Championship) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Bangabandhu National Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.