Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Saturday 14 November: Bangladesh v Pakistan in the SAFF Championship, played at Bangabandhu National Stadium. In the table, Bangladesh are 1st on 6 points after 2 matches; Pakistan are 2nd with 3. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bangladesh, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Sri Lanka, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Pakistan, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Vietnam, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Pakistan, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Bangladesh.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bangladesh 2.0 xG, Pakistan 1.6 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bangladesh 50%, draw 22%, Pakistan 28%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.36.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bangladesh 1–1 Pakistan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bangladesh50%fair 2.01 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.75
Pakistan28%fair 3.59 · @3.80
3.62Expected goals
1.98Bangladesh xG
1.64Pakistan xG
71%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Bangladesh 2.0 – 1.6 Pakistan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bangladesh to win
50%
2.01
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
71%
1.41
1.36
Draw no bet
Bangladesh (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Pakistan +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
87%
1.15
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
51%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
71%
1.42
1.33
First team to score
Bangladesh to score first
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Bangladesh ahead at half-time
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bangladesh / FT Bangladesh
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.62
–
Recent results
Bangladesh – last 6
WLLLWL
11 Nov
vs Sri Lanka
4–0
W
1 Oct
@ Indonesia
2–9
L
28 Sep
@ Singapore
0–1
L
25 Sep
vs Malaysia
0–3
L
5 Jun
@ San Marino
2–1
W
31 Mar
@ Singapore
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pakistan – last 6
LDLWWW
2 Oct
@ Vietnam
2–4
L
29 Sep
@ Philippines
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs Thailand
0–4
L
10 Jun
vs Afghanistan
2–0
W
7 Jun
@ Afghanistan
2–0
W
4 Jun
@ Maldives
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bangladesh and Pakistan.
What is the prediction for Bangladesh vs Pakistan?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Bangladesh vs Pakistan?
On our numbers Bangladesh have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pakistan 28%.
How many goals will there be in Bangladesh vs Pakistan?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bangladesh vs Pakistan?
Our predicted score is Bangladesh 1–1 Pakistan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Bangladesh vs Pakistan?
Bangladesh vs Pakistan (SAFF Championship) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Bangabandhu National Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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