Montenegro U21 65%Draw 18%Armenia U21 17%Expected goals 2.12 – 0.94
65%
Betarazi pick
Montenegro U21 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMontenegro U21 to win ✗65% · @1.33
Double chanceMontenegro U21 or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Armenia U21 travel to face Montenegro U21 on Monday 5 October in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification, with DG Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Montenegro U21 are 5th on 11 points after 10 matches; Armenia U21 are 6th with 3.
Current form
Montenegro U21, last 4: DDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with North Macedonia U21, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Armenia U21, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Italy U21, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Montenegro U21, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.0 for Armenia U21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montenegro U21 2.1 xG, Armenia U21 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montenegro U21 65%, draw 18%, Armenia U21 17%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Montenegro U21 to win (65%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montenegro U21 2–0 Armenia U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montenegro U2165%fair 1.53 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @4.40
Armenia U2117%fair 5.98 · @7.00
3.06Expected goals
2.12Montenegro U21 xG
0.94Armenia U21 xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Montenegro U21 2.1 – 0.9 Armenia U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montenegro U21 to win✗
65%
1.53
1.33
Double chance
Montenegro U21 or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Montenegro U21 (draw no bet)
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Montenegro U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Montenegro U21 to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Montenegro U21 ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montenegro U21 / FT Montenegro U21✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Montenegro U21 – last 4
DDLD
1 Oct
@ North Macedonia U21
1–1
D
5 Jun
vs Cyprus U21
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Poland U21
0–1
L
27 Mar
@ Sweden U21
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Armenia U21 – last 3
LLL
1 Oct
vs Italy U21
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs North Macedonia U21
0–2
L
27 Mar
@ Poland U21
1–4
L
0.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montenegro U21 and Armenia U21.
What is the prediction for Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21?
Our pick is Montenegro U21 to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21?
On our numbers Montenegro U21 have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Armenia U21 17%.
How many goals will there be in Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21?
Our predicted score is Montenegro U21 2–0 Armenia U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21?
Montenegro U21 vs Armenia U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at DG Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Poland U212
North Macedonia U210