Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSweden U21 to win ✓67% · @1.25
Double chanceSweden U21 or draw ✓85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
North Macedonia U21 travel to face Sweden U21 on Monday 5 October in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification, with Falcon Alkoholfri Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Sweden U21 are 3rd on 18 points after 10 matches; North Macedonia U21 are 5th with 9.
Current form
Sweden U21, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Poland U21, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
North Macedonia U21, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Montenegro U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sweden U21 2.3 xG, North Macedonia U21 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sweden U21 67%, draw 18%, North Macedonia U21 15%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sweden U21 to win (67%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sweden U21 2–0 North Macedonia U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sweden U2167%fair 1.48 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @5.00
North Macedonia U2115%fair 6.83 · @8.50
3.22Expected goals
2.27Sweden U21 xG
0.95North Macedonia U21 xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sweden U21 2.3 – 0.9 North Macedonia U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sweden U21 to win✓
67%
1.48
1.25
Double chance
Sweden U21 or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Sweden U21 (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Sweden U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Sweden U21 to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Sweden U21 ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sweden U21 / FT Sweden U21✓
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Sweden U21 – last 4
LLLD
30 Sep
@ Poland U21
0–3
L
4 Jun
vs Finland U21
1–3
L
31 Mar
vs Italy U21
0–4
L
27 Mar
vs Montenegro U21
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
North Macedonia U21 – last 6
DLLLWL
1 Oct
vs Montenegro U21
1–1
D
26 Aug
vs Morocco U20
1–5
L
24 Aug
@ Türkiye U20
0–3
L
8 Jun
vs United States U20
0–2
L
31 Mar
@ Armenia U21
2–0
W
26 Mar
@ Italy U21
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sweden U21 and North Macedonia U21.
What is the prediction for Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21?
Our pick is Sweden U21 to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21?
On our numbers Sweden U21 have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and North Macedonia U21 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21?
Our predicted score is Sweden U21 2–0 North Macedonia U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21?
Sweden U21 vs North Macedonia U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Falcon Alkoholfri Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Armenia U211
Poland U212