AS Roma 43%Draw 26%Juventus 31%Expected goals 1.52 – 1.13
75%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: AS Roma to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAS Roma to win43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.84
AS Roma vs Juventus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Serie A brings AS Roma against Juventus at Stadio Olimpico. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, AS Roma are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 11 matches; Juventus are 7th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Juventus, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Galatasaray, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AS Roma 1.5 xG, Juventus 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AS Roma 43%, draw 26%, Juventus 31%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: AS Roma to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: AS Roma 1–1 Juventus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AS Roma43%fair 2.34 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.05
Juventus31%fair 3.18 · @2.78
2.65Expected goals
1.52AS Roma xG
1.13Juventus xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: AS Roma 1.5 – 1.1 Juventus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Roma to win
43%
2.34
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.93
1.90
Draw no bet
AS Roma (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Juventus +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
1.06
First team to score
AS Roma to score first
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AS Roma / FT AS Roma
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
AS Roma – last 2
WD
22 Feb
vs Cremonese
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Napoli
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Juventus – last 3
WLL
25 Feb
vs Galatasaray
3–0
W
21 Feb
vs Como
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Galatasaray
2–5
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AS Roma and Juventus.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AS Roma vs Juventus?
On our numbers AS Roma have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Juventus 31%.
How many goals will there be in AS Roma vs Juventus?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AS Roma vs Juventus?
Our predicted score is AS Roma 1–1 Juventus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AS Roma vs Juventus?
AS Roma vs Juventus (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.