Torino 29%Draw 27%Lazio 44%Expected goals 1.07 – 1.48
68%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Lazio to win @ 2.68 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLazio to win ✗44% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Torino vs Lazio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Torino welcome Lazio to Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 1 March (18:00 WAT). In the table, Torino are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Lazio are 1st (leading the league) with 29. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Torino 1.1 xG, Lazio 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Torino 29%, draw 27%, Lazio 44%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Lazio to win @2.68 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torino 1–1 Lazio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Torino29%fair 3.42 · @2.84
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.88
Lazio44%fair 2.29 · @2.68
2.54Expected goals
1.07Torino xG
1.48Lazio xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Torino 1.1 – 1.5 Lazio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio to win✗
44%
2.29
2.68 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Lazio (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Torino +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.05
First team to score
Lazio to score first✗
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio / FT Lazio✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Torino – last 2
LL
22 Feb
@ Genoa
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Bologna
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lazio
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torino and Lazio.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Torino vs Lazio?
On our numbers Torino have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Lazio 44%.
How many goals will there be in Torino vs Lazio?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torino vs Lazio?
Our predicted score is Torino 1–1 Lazio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Torino vs Lazio?
Torino vs Lazio (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.