Value bet: Sassuolo to win @ 3.65 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtalanta to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Sassuolo vs Atalanta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atalanta travel to face Sassuolo on Sunday 1 March in the Serie A, with MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Sassuolo are 17th, lower half, on 8 points after 11 matches; Atalanta are 12th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Atalanta, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Borussia Dortmund, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sassuolo 1.3 xG, Atalanta 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sassuolo 29%, draw 24%, Atalanta 47%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Sassuolo to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sassuolo 1–1 Atalanta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sassuolo29%fair 3.43 · @3.65
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.40
Atalanta47%fair 2.15 · @2.00
2.84Expected goals
1.26Sassuolo xG
1.58Atalanta xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–07%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Sassuolo 1.3 – 1.6 Atalanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta to win✗
47%
2.15
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.73
Draw no bet
Atalanta (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Sassuolo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
First team to score
Atalanta to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Sassuolo – last 2
WW
20 Feb
vs Verona
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Udinese
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Atalanta – last 3
WWL
25 Feb
vs Borussia Dortmund
4–1
W
22 Feb
vs Napoli
2–1
W
17 Feb
@ Borussia Dortmund
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sassuolo and Atalanta.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Atalanta?
On our numbers Sassuolo have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atalanta 47%.
How many goals will there be in Sassuolo vs Atalanta?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Atalanta?
Our predicted score is Sassuolo 1–1 Atalanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sassuolo vs Atalanta?
Sassuolo vs Atalanta (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cremonese0