Genoa 20%Draw 24%AS Roma 55%Expected goals 0.97 – 1.79
80%
Betarazi pick
AS Roma or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAS Roma to win ✗55% · @1.90
Double chanceAS Roma or draw ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Genoa vs AS Roma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Genoa welcome AS Roma to Luigi Ferraris for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 8 March (18:00 WAT). In the table, Genoa are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; AS Roma are 3rd (among the top four) with 27. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Genoa 1.0 xG, AS Roma 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Genoa 20%, draw 24%, AS Roma 55%.
Lower-risk option: AS Roma or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AS Roma or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Genoa 0–1 AS Roma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Genoa20%fair 4.91 · @4.10
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.35
AS Roma55%fair 1.81 · @1.90
2.76Expected goals
0.97Genoa xG
1.79AS Roma xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Genoa 1.0 – 1.8 AS Roma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Roma to win✗
55%
1.81
1.90 ▲
Double chance
AS Roma or draw✗
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
AS Roma (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Genoa +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.06
First team to score
AS Roma to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
AS Roma ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AS Roma / FT AS Roma✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Genoa – last 2
WD
22 Feb
vs Torino
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Cremonese
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AS Roma – last 2
WD
22 Feb
vs Cremonese
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Napoli
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Genoa and AS Roma.
Our pick is AS Roma or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Genoa vs AS Roma?
On our numbers Genoa have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AS Roma 55%.
How many goals will there be in Genoa vs AS Roma?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genoa vs AS Roma?
Our predicted score is Genoa 0–1 AS Roma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Genoa vs AS Roma?
Genoa vs AS Roma (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Luigi Ferraris.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cremonese1
Hellas Verona2