Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Cremonese to win @ 3.90 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLecce to win ✓40% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓7% · fair 13.43
Lecce vs Cremonese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 March the Serie A brings Lecce against Cremonese at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT.
Current form
Cremonese, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to AC Milan, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lecce 1.1 xG, Cremonese 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lecce 40%, draw 28%, Cremonese 32%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Cremonese to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lecce 1–1 Cremonese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lecce40%fair 2.53 · @2.14
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @2.90
Cremonese32%fair 3.12 · @3.90
2.25Expected goals
1.12Lecce xG
1.14Cremonese xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Lecce 1.1 – 1.1 Cremonese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lecce to win✓
40%
2.53
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.40
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Lecce (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Lecce +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
1.04
First team to score
Cremonese to score first✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cremonese / FT Cremonese✗
20%
4.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
7%
13.43
–
Recent results
Lecce – last 1
W
16 Feb
@ Cagliari
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cremonese – last 3
LLD
1 Mar
vs AC Milan
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ AS Roma
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Genoa
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lecce and Cremonese.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Lecce vs Cremonese?
On our numbers Lecce have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Cremonese 32%.
How many goals will there be in Lecce vs Cremonese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecce vs Cremonese?
Our predicted score is Lecce 1–1 Cremonese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lecce vs Cremonese?
Lecce vs Cremonese (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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